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中国的煤炭禁令政策:蓝天行动,增长挑战。

China's Coal Ban policy: Clearing skies, challenging growth.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100085, China; College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Jan 1;349:119420. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119420. Epub 2023 Oct 27.

Abstract

China's Coal Ban policy is one of the world's most extensive and ambitious programs designed to mitigate air pollution. However, the effects of this policy on the environment and the economy remain unknown. This study examines the impacts of the Coal Ban policy, which has been implemented in 28 cities in Beijing and its adjacent provinces, on air quality and economic growth. Based on a panel dataset spanning 138 cities between 2010 and 2019, the policy was found to have reduced atmospheric particulate matter with a diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm (PM) by 4.74 μg/m in the 28 cities, but have also reduced per capita gross domestic product (GDP) by 5.8%. Further, the policy has also produced spatial spillover effects. In cities near the 28 cities, the policy has reduced PM by 4.40 μg/m and per capita GDP by 0.9%. Robustness tests corroborated the reliability of the conclusions. These findings underscore the importance of fostering a harmonious relationship between efforts to mitigate air pollution and the pursuit of economic growth objectives.

摘要

中国的煤炭禁令政策是全球最广泛、最具雄心的减少空气污染计划之一。然而,该政策对环境和经济的影响仍不清楚。本研究考察了在北京及其周边省份的 28 个城市实施的煤炭禁令政策对空气质量和经济增长的影响。基于 2010 年至 2019 年期间涵盖 138 个城市的面板数据集,研究发现该政策使 28 个城市大气中直径小于或等于 2.5 微米的颗粒物(PM)减少了 4.74μg/m,但也使人均国内生产总值(GDP)减少了 5.8%。此外,该政策还产生了空间溢出效应。在 28 个城市附近的城市,该政策使 PM 减少了 4.40μg/m,人均 GDP 减少了 0.9%。稳健性检验证实了结论的可靠性。这些发现强调了在努力减轻空气污染和追求经济增长目标之间建立和谐关系的重要性。

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