Hassan Cesare, Povero Massimiliano, Pradelli Lorenzo, Spadaccini Marco, Repici Alessandro
Endoscopy Unit, Humanitas University, Rozzano, Italy.
Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Pieve Emanuele, Italy.
Endosc Int Open. 2023 Nov 10;11(11):E1046-E1055. doi: 10.1055/a-2136-3428. eCollection 2023 Nov.
Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted colonoscopy has proven to be effective compared with colonoscopy alone in an average-risk population. We aimed to evaluate the cost-utility of GI GENIUS, the first marketed real-time AI system in an Italian high-risk population. A 1-year cycle cohort Markov model was developed to simulate the disease evolution of a cohort of Italian individuals positive on fecal immunochemical test (FIT), aged 50 years, undergoing colonoscopy with or without the AI system. Adenoma or colorectal cancer (CRC) were identified according to detection rates specific for each technique. Costs were estimated from the Italian National Health Service perspective. Colonoscopy+AI system was dominant with respect to standard colonoscopy. The GI GENIUS system prevented 155 CRC cases (-2.7%), 77 CRC-related deaths (-2.8%), and improved quality of life (+0.027 QALY) with respect to colonoscopy alone. The increase in screening cost (+€10.50) and care for adenoma (+€3.53) was offset by the savings in cost of care for CRC (-€28.37), leading to a total savings of €14.34 per patient. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the cost-efficacy of the AI system (almost 80% probability). The implementation of AI detection tools in colonoscopy after patients test FIT-positive seems to be a cost-saving strategy for preventing CRC incidence and mortality.
与单纯结肠镜检查相比,人工智能(AI)辅助结肠镜检查在平均风险人群中已被证明是有效的。我们旨在评估GI GENIUS的成本效益,这是意大利市场上首个用于高风险人群的实时AI系统。我们开发了一个为期1年的周期队列马尔可夫模型,以模拟一组年龄50岁、粪便免疫化学检测(FIT)呈阳性、接受或未接受AI系统结肠镜检查的意大利人的疾病演变情况。根据每种技术的检测率来识别腺瘤或结直肠癌(CRC)。从意大利国家卫生服务的角度估算成本。与标准结肠镜检查相比,结肠镜检查+AI系统具有优势。与单纯结肠镜检查相比,GI GENIUS系统预防了155例CRC病例(-2.7%)、77例CRC相关死亡(-2.8%),并提高了生活质量(+0.027质量调整生命年)。筛查成本的增加(+10.50欧元)和腺瘤治疗成本的增加(+3.53欧元)被CRC治疗成本的节省(-28.37欧元)所抵消,每位患者总共节省14.34欧元。概率敏感性分析证实了AI系统的成本效益(概率近80%)。在患者FIT检测呈阳性后,在结肠镜检查中使用AI检测工具似乎是一种预防CRC发病率和死亡率的成本节约策略。