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预测美国青少年和年轻成年人中 HIV 护理变化的临床和经济影响:COVID-19 大流行带来的经验教训。

Projecting the Clinical and Economic Impacts of Changes to HIV Care Among Adolescents and Young Adults in the United States: Lessons From the COVID-19 Pandemic.

机构信息

Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Department of Healthcare Leadership and Management, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.

出版信息

J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc. 2024 Jan 29;13(1):60-68. doi: 10.1093/jpids/piad102.

DOI:10.1093/jpids/piad102
PMID:37963069
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10824262/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many US youth with HIV (YHIV) used telehealth services; others experienced disruptions in clinic and antiretroviral therapy (ART) access.

METHODS

Using the Cost-effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications (CEPAC)-Adolescent HIV microsimulation model, we evaluated 3 scenarios: 1) Clinic: in-person care; 2) Telehealth: virtual visits, without CD4 or viral load monitoring for 12 months, followed by return to usual care; and 3) Interruption: complete care interruption with no ART access or laboratory monitoring for 6 months (maximum clinic closure time), followed by return to usual care for 80%. We assigned higher 1-year retention (87% vs 80%) and lower cost/visit ($49 vs $56) for Telehealth vs Clinic. We modeled 2 YHIV cohorts with non-perinatal (YNPHIV) and perinatal (YPHIV) HIV, which differed by mean age (22 vs 16 years), sex at birth (85% vs 47% male), starting CD4 count (527/μL vs 635/μL), ART, mortality, and HIV-related costs. We projected life months (LMs) and costs/100 YHIV over 10 years.

RESULTS

Over 10 years, LMs in Clinic and Telehealth would be similar (YNPHIV: 11 350 vs 11 360 LMs; YPHIV: 11 680 LMs for both strategies); costs would be $0.3M (YNPHIV) and $0.4M (YPHIV) more for Telehealth than Clinic. Interruption would be less effective (YNPHIV: 11 230 LMs; YPHIV: 11 620 LMs) and less costly (YNPHIV: $1.3M less; YPHIV: $0.2M less) than Clinic. Higher retention in Telehealth led to increased ART use and thus higher costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Telehealth could be as effective as in-person care for some YHIV, at slightly increased cost. Short interruptions to ART and laboratory monitoring may have negative long-term clinical implications.

摘要

背景

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,许多美国青少年 HIV 感染者(YHIV)使用远程医疗服务;其他人则在诊所和抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)方面遇到了中断。

方法

使用预防艾滋病并发症的成本效益(CEPAC)-青少年 HIV 微观模拟模型,我们评估了 3 种情况:1)诊所:面对面护理;2)远程医疗:虚拟就诊,在 12 个月内不进行 CD4 或病毒载量监测,然后恢复常规护理;3)中断:6 个月(最长诊所关闭时间)完全中断护理,无 ART 治疗或实验室监测,然后恢复常规护理 80%。我们为 Telehealth 分配了更高的 1 年保留率(87%对 80%)和更低的每次就诊成本(49 美元对 56 美元)。我们建立了两个 YHIV 队列,分别是非围产期(YNPHIV)和围产期(YPHIV)HIV,两者的区别在于平均年龄(22 岁对 16 岁)、出生时的性别(85%对 47%为男性)、起始 CD4 计数(527/μL 对 635/μL)、ART、死亡率和 HIV 相关成本。我们预测了 10 年内每 100 名 YHIV 的生命月数(LM)和成本。

结果

在 10 年内,诊所和远程医疗的 LM 相似(YNPHIV:11350 对 11360 LM;YPHIV:两种策略均为 11680 LM);远程医疗的成本比诊所高 30 万美元(YNPHIV)和 40 万美元(YPHIV)。中断的效果较差(YNPHIV:11230 LM;YPHIV:11620 LM),成本也较低(YNPHIV:少 130 万美元;YPHIV:少 20 万美元)。远程医疗中较高的保留率导致 ART 使用率增加,从而导致成本增加。

结论

对于某些 YHIV 来说,远程医疗可能与面对面护理一样有效,但成本略高。ART 和实验室监测的短期中断可能会产生长期的负面临床影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d4e/10824262/fa17ef9e8031/piad102_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d4e/10824262/5f09c97902de/piad102_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d4e/10824262/fa17ef9e8031/piad102_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d4e/10824262/5f09c97902de/piad102_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d4e/10824262/fa17ef9e8031/piad102_fig2.jpg

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