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分析 2015 年至 2021 年合肥地区发热伴血小板减少综合征病例的时空分布特征及自然感染状况。

Analysis of spatial-temporal distribution characteristics and natural infection status of SFTS cases in Hefei from 2015 to 2021.

机构信息

Hefei Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

出版信息

Environ Health Prev Med. 2023;28:70. doi: 10.1265/ehpm.23-00149.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

To analyze the prevalence and spatial-temporal characteristics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), clustering mode of transmission, and the serological dynamic detection results in multiple areas in Hefei from 2015 to 2021, and to provide the basis for SFTS prevention and control.

METHOD

Case data were obtained from the Chinese Disease Control and Prevention Information System. Information on the clustering outbreak was obtained from the outbreak investigation and disposal report. Population latent infection rate information was obtained from field sampling in multiple-incidence counties in 2016 and 2021 by multi-stage random sampling. Epi data3.2 and SPSS 16.0 softwares were used to perform a statistical analysis of the data on SFTS cases, and QGIS 3.26 software was used to draw the incidence map with township (street) as unit.

RESULTS

The an average annual reported incidence rate of SFTS in Hefei from 2015 to 2021 was 0.65/100,000, and the case fatality rate was 9.73%. The overall prevalence of SFTS epidemics in Hefei City showed a fluctuating upward trend from 2015 to 2021 (χtrends = 103.353, P < 0.001). Chaohu City, Feixi County, Feidong County and Lujiang County ranked the top 4 in the city in terms of average annual incidence rate. The number of epidemic-involved towns (streets) kept increasing ((χ = 47.640, P = 0.000)). Co-exposure to ticks accounted for the majority of clustered outbreaks and also human-to-human outbreaks. Population-based latent infection rate surveys were conducted in four SFTS multi-incidence counties, with 385 people surveyed in 2016 and 403 people surveyed in 2021, increasing the population-based latent infection rate from 6.75% to 10.91%, just as the incidence rate increased.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence rate of SFTS in Hefei is obviously regional, with an expanding trend in the extent of the epidemic involved. Co-exposure to ticks accounted for the majority of clustered outbreaks and the latent infection rate cannot be ignored.

摘要

背景

分析 2015 年至 2021 年合肥地区严重发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)的流行率和时空特征、传播聚集模式及血清学动态检测结果,为 SFTS 防控提供依据。

方法

病例资料来源于中国疾病预防控制信息系统,聚集性疫情信息来源于疫情调查处置报告,人群隐性感染率信息来源于 2016 年和 2021 年多县区现场抽样的多阶段随机抽样。采用 EpiData3.2 和 SPSS16.0 软件对 SFTS 病例数据进行统计学分析,采用 QGIS3.26 软件以乡镇(街道)为单位绘制发病率地图。

结果

2015 年至 2021 年合肥地区 SFTS 年平均报告发病率为 0.65/10 万,病死率为 9.73%。合肥市 SFTS 总体流行呈 2015 年至 2021 年波动上升趋势(χtrends=103.353,P<0.001)。巢湖区、肥西县、肥东县和庐江县发病率位居全市前 4 位,疫情涉及乡镇(街道)数不断增加(χ2=47.640,P=0.000)。蜱虫暴露为主的聚集性疫情和人传人疫情并存。在 4 个 SFTS 多疫区开展人群隐性感染率调查,2016 年调查 385 人,2021 年调查 403 人,人群隐性感染率由 6.75%上升至 10.91%,与发病率升高趋势一致。

结论

合肥地区 SFTS 发病率呈明显区域性,疫区涉及范围有扩大趋势。蜱虫暴露为主的聚集性疫情占比较大,隐性感染率不容忽视。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7411/10654213/ddd8194ead74/ehpm-28-070-g001.jpg

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