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从两个角度看重症监护病房的治疗效果:传统队列研究方法与新的病例对照方法。

The therapeutic efficacy of critical care units from two perspectives: a traditional cohort approach vs a new case-control methodology.

作者信息

Charlson M E, Sax F L

出版信息

J Chronic Dis. 1987;40(1):31-9. doi: 10.1016/0021-9681(87)90094-4.

DOI:10.1016/0021-9681(87)90094-4
PMID:3805232
Abstract

The therapeutic efficacy of critical care units-whether they do more good than harm and for whom--has not been established, except for patients who are admitted for life-sustaining interventions, such as mechanical support of ventilation. However, most patients are admitted for observation, and to facilitate intervention if deterioration occurs or complications develop. The objective of this study was to determine whether direct admission to critical care units reduced mortality rates. The population under study consisted of all 604 patients admitted to the medical service during a one month period. At the time of admission, the responsible residents rated patients as to how sick and stable they were. These ratings of illness severity and stability have been shown to be the most significant predictors of in-hospital mortality and morbidity, respectively; they were employed to stratify the patients prognostically. The first analysis utilized the entire cohort of 604 patients. After patients who would have been ineligible for entry into a trial were removed, direct admission to the unit was associated with a reduced mortality in only one group of patients: the unstable, moderately ill (p less than 0.05). "Unstable, severely ill" patients had high mortality rates when admitted to the floor or units, and stable patients (mildly or moderately ill) did equally well when admitted to either location. A further analysis revealed a possible explanation for these findings. Among the unstable, moderately ill patients, the rate of deterioration of pre-existing problems was significantly lower among patients directly admitted to the unit (p less than 0.05), whereas the rate of new complications did not differ.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

摘要

重症监护病房的治疗效果——即其利是否大于弊以及对哪些人有益——尚未明确,除了那些因维持生命的干预措施(如机械通气支持)而入院的患者。然而,大多数患者入院是为了接受观察,并在病情恶化或出现并发症时便于进行干预。本研究的目的是确定直接入住重症监护病房是否能降低死亡率。研究人群包括在一个月期间入住内科的所有604名患者。入院时,负责的住院医师对患者的病情严重程度和稳定性进行了评估。这些疾病严重程度和稳定性的评估已被证明分别是住院死亡率和发病率的最重要预测因素;它们被用于对患者进行预后分层。首次分析使用了604名患者的整个队列。在排除那些不符合试验入组条件的患者后,只有一组患者直接入住该病房与死亡率降低相关:不稳定的中度病情患者(p小于0.05)。“不稳定的重度病情”患者入住普通病房或该病房时死亡率都很高,而稳定患者(轻度或中度病情)入住任何一个地方的情况都一样。进一步分析揭示了这些发现的一个可能解释。在不稳定的中度病情患者中,直接入住该病房的患者原有问题的恶化率显著较低(p小于0.05),而新并发症的发生率没有差异。(摘要截断于250字)

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