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可再生能源和不可再生能源消费对印度经济增长的综合影响:细分能源来源的作用。

A blend of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on economic growth of India: The role of disaggregate energy sources.

机构信息

Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, National Institute of Technology Rourkela, Rourkela, 769008, Odisha, India.

Department of Economics and Development Studies, Central University of Jharkhand, Cheri-Manatu, Ranchi, Jharkhand, 835222, India.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jan;31(3):3902-3916. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-31372-0. Epub 2023 Dec 14.

Abstract

India, with its rapidly growing economy, has an increasing demand for energy consumption. This study thus adds to the energy-economic growth literature by exploring the effect of renewable (hydro and nuclear) and non-renewable (coal and oil) energy consumption by different sources on the economic growth of India, spanning from 1985 to 2021. The ARDL estimator is used to assess the short- and long-run growth effectiveness of the explanatory variables, while the variance decomposition analysis (VDA) is employed to examine the degree to which one variable can explain the change in variance of another variable. Among the renewable energy sources, hydro-energy consumption is found to be impeding economic growth, while nuclear energy is found to be inducing India's economic growth in the long run. Furthermore, among the non-renewable energy sources, oil consumption is found to be impeding the economic growth, while coal consumption is observed to be augmenting India's economic growth in the long run significantly. The findings reveal that non-renewable energy use plays a crucial role in the economic growth of India; thus, from a policy standpoint, this study recommends the government to invest more in the advancement of the renewable energy sector in order to balance the energy mix and achieve sustainable economic growth.

摘要

印度经济增长迅速,对能源消耗的需求也在不断增加。本研究通过探讨不同来源的可再生能源(水力和核能)和不可再生能源(煤炭和石油)消费对印度经济增长的影响,为能源-经济增长文献增添了新内容。研究时间跨度为 1985 年至 2021 年,使用 ARDL 估计量评估了解释变量的短期和长期增长有效性,同时使用方差分解分析(VDA)来检验一个变量能够在多大程度上解释另一个变量的方差变化。在可再生能源中,水力能源消费被发现阻碍了经济增长,而核能则被发现能够长期促进印度的经济增长。此外,在不可再生能源中,石油消费被发现阻碍了经济增长,而煤炭消费则被观察到能够长期显著促进印度的经济增长。研究结果表明,不可再生能源的使用在印度的经济增长中起着至关重要的作用;因此,从政策角度来看,本研究建议政府加大对可再生能源部门的投资力度,以平衡能源结构,实现可持续的经济增长。

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