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中国的人口老龄化与医疗保健融资的可持续性

Population ageing and sustainability of healthcare financing in China.

作者信息

Wu Wenqing, Long Shujie, Cerda Arcadio A, Garcia Leidy Y, Jakovljevic Mihajlo

机构信息

College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.

Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Talca, Talca, Chile.

出版信息

Cost Eff Resour Alloc. 2023 Dec 19;21(1):97. doi: 10.1186/s12962-023-00505-0.


DOI:10.1186/s12962-023-00505-0
PMID:38115117
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10729482/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: In China, the healthcare financing structure involves multiple parties, including the government, society and individuals. Medicare Fund is an important way for the Government and society to reduce the burden of individual medical costs. However, with the aging of the population, the demand of Medicare Fund is increasing. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the sustainability of the healthcare financing structure in the context of population ageing. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this paper is to organize the characteristics of population ageing as well as healthcare financing in China. On this basis, it analyzes the impact mechanism of population ageing on healthcare financing and the sustainability of existing healthcare financing. METHODS: This paper mainly adopts the method of literature research and inductive summarization. Extracting data from Health Statistics Yearbook of China and Labor and Social Security Statistics Yearbook of China. Collected about 60 pieces of relevant literature at home and abroad. RESULTS: China has already entered a deeply ageing society. Unlike developed countries in the world, China's population ageing has distinctive feature of ageing before being rich. A healthcare financing scheme established by China, composing of the government, society, and individuals, is reasonable. However, under the pressure of population ageing, China's current healthcare financing scheme will face enormous challenges. Scholars are generally pessimistic about the sustainability of China's healthcare financing scheme. CONCLUSIONS: Population ageing will increase the expenditure and reduce the income of the Medicare Fund. This will further affect the sustainability of the healthcare financing structure. As a consequence, the state should pay particular attention to this issue and take action to ensure that the Fund continues to operate steadily.

摘要

背景:在中国,医疗保健筹资结构涉及多方,包括政府、社会和个人。医疗保险基金是政府和社会减轻个人医疗费用负担的重要方式。然而,随着人口老龄化,医疗保险基金的需求不断增加。因此,有必要在人口老龄化背景下探索医疗保健筹资结构的可持续性。 目的:本文旨在梳理中国人口老龄化以及医疗保健筹资的特点。在此基础上,分析人口老龄化对医疗保健筹资的影响机制以及现有医疗保健筹资的可持续性。 方法:本文主要采用文献研究和归纳总结的方法。从《中国卫生统计年鉴》和《中国劳动和社会保障统计年鉴》中提取数据。收集了国内外约60篇相关文献。 结果:中国已进入深度老龄化社会。与世界上的发达国家不同,中国人口老龄化具有未富先老的鲜明特征。中国建立的由政府、社会和个人组成的医疗保健筹资方案是合理的。然而,在人口老龄化压力下,中国目前的医疗保健筹资方案将面临巨大挑战。学者们对中国医疗保健筹资方案的可持续性普遍持悲观态度。 结论:人口老龄化将增加医疗保险基金的支出并减少其收入。这将进一步影响医疗保健筹资结构的可持续性。因此,国家应特别关注这一问题并采取行动确保基金继续稳定运行。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8dc3/10729482/781f936bb516/12962_2023_505_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8dc3/10729482/74d0d897a981/12962_2023_505_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8dc3/10729482/781f936bb516/12962_2023_505_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8dc3/10729482/74d0d897a981/12962_2023_505_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8dc3/10729482/781f936bb516/12962_2023_505_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Successes and challenges of China's health care reform: a four-decade perspective spanning 1985-2023.

Cost Eff Resour Alloc. 2023-8-30

[2]
Consequences of India's population aging to its healthcare financing and provision.

J Med Econ. 2023

[3]
Environmental Pollution Liability Insurance of Health Risk and Corporate Environmental Performance: Evidence From China.

Front Public Health. 2022

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How China controls the Covid-19 epidemic through public health expenditure and policy?

J Med Econ. 2022

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Future health spending forecast in leading emerging BRICS markets in 2030: health policy implications.

Health Res Policy Syst. 2022-2-19

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J Med Econ. 2021-11

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Int J Health Plann Manage. 2022-1

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Lancet. 2021-10-9

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Demographic forecasting of population aging in Greece and Cyprus: one big challenge for the Mediterranean health and social system long-term sustainability.

Health Res Policy Syst. 2021-2-15

[10]
The effects of ageing population on health expenditure and economic growth in China: A Bayesian-VAR approach.

Soc Sci Med. 2020-11

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