Li L, Hong H, Zhou D S, Fang T, Yang H Y, Bian G L, Xu G Z
Department of Psychiatry, Ningbo Kangning Hospital/Affiliated Mental Health Centre, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315201, China.
School of Medicine, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2023 Dec 10;44(12):1916-1920. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20230522-00325.
To explore the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of reported incidence of schizophrenia in Ningbo from 2018 to 2022 and to provide a scientific basis for rational allocation of mental health resources and comprehensive prevention and treatment of schizophrenia. The reported incidence data of schizophrenia from 2018 to 2022 were collected from Ningbo's mental health information management system, and the reported incidence was calculated by township. The spatial correlation analysis and the spatiotemporal scan analysis were used to study the spatiotemporal distribution of schizophrenia. The reported incidence of schizophrenia decreased from 2018 to 2022, with 4 133 new cases reported, and the annual average reported incidence was 9.76/100 000. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed positive spatial correlations and hot spots in 2018-2020. The space-time scan analysis showed an incidence cluster in Dongqiao Town, Haishu District, during 2018-2019. The was 2.46, and the log-likelihood ratio was 256.89. The reported incidence of schizophrenia in Ningbo has obvious temporal and spatial aggregation, and the high incidence area explored can provide clues for further research on the correlation between environmental factors and the incidence of schizophrenia and has certain guiding significance for the rational allocation of mental health resources in Ningbo.
为探讨2018年至2022年宁波市精神分裂症报告发病率的时空分布特征,为合理配置精神卫生资源及精神分裂症的综合防治提供科学依据。收集宁波市精神卫生信息管理系统中2018年至2022年精神分裂症的报告发病数据,并按乡镇计算报告发病率。采用空间相关性分析和时空扫描分析研究精神分裂症的时空分布。2018年至2022年精神分裂症报告发病率呈下降趋势,共报告新发病例4133例,年平均报告发病率为9.76/10万。全局和局部空间自相关分析显示2018 - 2020年存在正空间相关性和热点区域。时空扫描分析显示2018 - 2019年海曙区洞桥镇存在发病聚集区。RR为2.46,对数似然比为256.89。宁波市精神分裂症报告发病率具有明显的时空聚集性,所探索出的高发病区可为进一步研究环境因素与精神分裂症发病率的相关性提供线索,对宁波市精神卫生资源的合理配置具有一定的指导意义。