Yu Jinghan, Li Xiaofen, Zeng Hanjiang, Yin Hongkun, Wang Ya, Wang Bo, Qiu Meng, Wu Bing
Department of Radiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
Department of Medical Oncology, Cancer Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
Diagnostics (Basel). 2023 Dec 19;14(1):6. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics14010006.
Ovarian metastasis (OM) from colorectal cancer (CRC) is infrequent and has a poor prognosis. The purpose of this study is to investigate the value of a contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics model in predicting ovarian metastasis from colorectal cancer outcomes after systemic chemotherapy. A total of 52 ovarian metastatic CRC patients who received first-line systemic chemotherapy were retrospectively included in this study and were categorized into chemo-benefit (C+) and no-chemo-benefit (C-) groups, using Response Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST v1.1) as the standard. A total of 1743 radiomics features were extracted from baseline CT, three methods were adopted during the feature selection, and five prediction models were constructed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance and clinical utility of each model. Among those machine-learning-based radiomics models, the SVM model showed the best performance on the validation dataset, with AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.903 (95% CI, 0.788-0.967), 88.5%, 95.7%, and 82.8%, respectively. All radiomics models exhibited good calibration, and the DCA demonstrated that the SVM model had a higher net benefit than other models across the majority of the range of threshold probabilities. Our findings showed that contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics models have high discriminating power in predicting the outcome of colorectal cancer ovarian metastases patients receiving chemotherapy.
结直肠癌(CRC)的卵巢转移(OM)并不常见,且预后较差。本研究的目的是探讨基于对比增强CT的影像组学模型在预测结直肠癌全身化疗后卵巢转移结局中的价值。本研究回顾性纳入了52例接受一线全身化疗的卵巢转移性结直肠癌患者,并以实体瘤疗效评价标准(RECIST v1.1)为标准,将其分为化疗获益(C+)组和无化疗获益(C-)组。从基线CT中提取了总共1743个影像组学特征,在特征选择过程中采用了三种方法,并构建了五个预测模型。采用受试者操作特征(ROC)分析、校准分析和决策曲线分析(DCA)来评估每个模型的诊断性能和临床实用性。在那些基于机器学习的影像组学模型中,支持向量机(SVM)模型在验证数据集上表现最佳,其曲线下面积(AUC)、准确率、灵敏度和特异度分别为0.903(95%CI,0.788-0.967)、88.5%、95.7%和82.8%。所有影像组学模型均表现出良好的校准,DCA表明SVM模型在大多数阈值概率范围内的净效益高于其他模型。我们的研究结果表明,基于对比增强CT的影像组学模型在预测接受化疗的结直肠癌卵巢转移患者的结局方面具有较高的鉴别能力。