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基于随机效应广义线性模型的交通噪声预测建模。

Random effect generalized linear model-based predictive modelling of traffic noise.

机构信息

Civil Engineering Department, DCRUST Murthal, Haryana, India.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2024 Jan 18;196(2):168. doi: 10.1007/s10661-023-12285-4.

DOI:10.1007/s10661-023-12285-4
PMID:38236358
Abstract

Noise pollution is one of the negative consequences of growth and development in cities. Traffic noise pollution due to traffic growth is the main aspect that worsens city quality of life. Therefore, research around the world is being conducted to manage and reduce traffic noise. A number of traffic noise prediction models have been proposed employing fixed effect modelling approach considering each observation as independent; however, observations may have spatial and temporal correlations and unobserved heterogeneity. Random effect models overcome these problems. This study attempts to develop a random effect generalized linear model (REGLM) along with a machine learning random forest (RF) model to validate the results, concerning the parameters related to road, traffic and environmental conditions. Models were developed based on the experimental quantities in Delhi in year 2022-2023. Both the models performed comparably well in terms of coefficient of determination. Random forest models with R= 0.75, whereas random effect generalized linear model had an R= 0.70. REGLM model has the ability to quantify the effects of explanatory variables over traffic noise pollution and will be more helpful in prioritizing of resources and chalking out control strategies.

摘要

噪声污染是城市发展带来的负面影响之一。由于交通增长而导致的交通噪声污染是恶化城市生活质量的主要方面。因此,世界各地都在开展研究,以管理和减少交通噪声。已经提出了许多交通噪声预测模型,采用固定效应建模方法,将每个观测值视为独立的;然而,观测值可能具有空间和时间相关性以及未观察到的异质性。随机效应模型可以克服这些问题。本研究试图开发一个随机效应广义线性模型(REGLM)以及一个机器学习随机森林(RF)模型,以验证与道路、交通和环境条件相关的参数的结果。模型是基于 2022-2023 年在德里的实验数据开发的。在确定系数方面,这两种模型的表现都相当不错。随机森林模型的 R=0.75,而随机效应广义线性模型的 R=0.70。REGLM 模型能够量化解释变量对交通噪声污染的影响,这将有助于优先考虑资源和制定控制策略。

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本文引用的文献

1
Predicting highly dynamic traffic noise using rotating mobile monitoring and machine learning method.利用旋转移动监测和机器学习方法预测高度动态的交通噪声。
Environ Res. 2023 Jul 15;229:115896. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115896. Epub 2023 Apr 11.
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A study on the assessment of traffic noise induced annoyance and awareness levels about the potential health effects among residents living around a noise-sensitive area.一项关于评估居住在噪声敏感区域周围的居民对交通噪声引起的烦恼和潜在健康影响的意识水平的研究。
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Nov;28(44):63045-63064. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15208-3. Epub 2021 Jul 3.
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Traffic noise prediction model of an Indian road: an increased scenario of vehicles and honking.
印度道路的交通噪声预测模型:车辆和鸣笛增加的情况。
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Oct;27(30):38311-38320. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-09923-6. Epub 2020 Jul 4.
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Adverse Cardiovascular Effects of Traffic Noise with a Focus on Nighttime Noise and the New WHO Noise Guidelines.交通噪音对心血管的不良影响,重点关注夜间噪音及世界卫生组织新的噪音指南。
Annu Rev Public Health. 2020 Apr 2;41:309-328. doi: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-081519-062400. Epub 2020 Jan 10.
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