You Wenpeng, Henneberg Maciej
Heart and Lung Royal Adelaide Hospital Adelaide South Australia Australia.
Adelaide Medical School The University of Adelaide Adelaide South Australia Australia.
Health Sci Rep. 2024 Jan 22;7(1):e1828. doi: 10.1002/hsr2.1828. eCollection 2024 Jan.
Through reduced natural selection, measured with Biological State Index ( ), modern medicine enables most people to survive well beyond the reproductive lifespan leading to deleterious gene accumulation in population. This study explored the role of reduced natural selection in increasing cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence worldwide.
Country-specific estimates of CVD incidence and the index of reduced natural selection were captured for analysis of their correlation. Aging, affluence, obesity prevalence, and urbanization were considered as the potential confounders in the analyses.
Worldwide, was significantly correlated with CVD incidence in the bivariate correlation analyses. This relationship remains when the contributing effects from aging, affluence, obesity prevalence, and urbanization are removed in partial correlation model. Multiple linear regression (enter) shows that is a significant predictor of CVD incidence. Stepwise multiple linear regression selects as the variable having the second greatest influence on CVD incidence after ageing. showed a significantly greater correlation with CVD incidence in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) than in high-income countries.
Worldwide, through reducing natural selection, the side effects of healthcare services may have been partially contributing to the increase of CVD incidence worldwide with special regard to LMICs.
通过降低自然选择(以生物状态指数衡量),现代医学使大多数人能够在生殖寿命之后长期存活,导致人群中有害基因积累。本研究探讨了自然选择降低在全球心血管疾病(CVD)发病率增加中所起的作用。
获取特定国家的心血管疾病发病率估计值和自然选择降低指数,以分析它们之间的相关性。在分析中,将老龄化、富裕程度、肥胖患病率和城市化视为潜在混杂因素。
在双变量相关性分析中,全球范围内,与心血管疾病发病率显著相关。当在偏相关模型中去除老龄化、富裕程度、肥胖患病率和城市化的影响时,这种关系仍然存在。多元线性回归(进入法)表明,是心血管疾病发病率的显著预测因子。逐步多元线性回归选择作为对心血管疾病发病率影响仅次于老龄化的第二大变量。与低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)的心血管疾病发病率的相关性显著高于高收入国家。
在全球范围内,通过降低自然选择,医疗服务的副作用可能在一定程度上导致了全球心血管疾病发病率的上升,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家。