Hutchinson David K, Menviel Laurie, Meissner Katrin J, Hogg Andrew McC
Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
The Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Nat Commun. 2024 Feb 3;15(1):1026. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-45501-x.
During the Last Interglacial (LIG; 129-116 thousand years before present), the Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) was 1 to 7 m sea level equivalent smaller than at pre-industrial. Here, we assess the climatic impact of partial AIS melting at the LIG by forcing a coupled climate model with a smaller AIS and the equivalent meltwater input around the Antarctic coast. We find that changes in surface elevation induce surface warming over East Antarctica of 2 to 4 °C, and sea surface temperature (SST) increases in the Weddell and Ross Seas by up to 2 °C. Meltwater forcing causes a high latitude SST decrease and a subsurface (100-500 m) ocean temperature increase by up to 2 °C in the Ross Sea. Our results suggest that the combination of a smaller AIS and enhanced meltwater input leads to a larger sub-surface warming than meltwater alone and induces further Antarctic warming than each perturbation separately.
在末次间冰期(LIG;距今12.9 - 11.6万年),南极冰盖(AIS)比工业化前海平面当量小1至7米。在此,我们通过用较小的AIS和南极海岸周围等量的融水输入强迫一个耦合气候模型,来评估末次间冰期AIS部分融化的气候影响。我们发现,表面海拔变化导致东南极表面升温2至4°C,威德尔海和罗斯海的海表面温度(SST)升高达2°C。融水强迫导致高纬度SST下降,罗斯海100 - 500米深度的海洋温度升高达2°C。我们的结果表明,较小的AIS和增强的融水输入相结合导致的次表层变暖比单独的融水更大,并且比每个单独的扰动引发的南极变暖更甚。