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基于深入的碰撞数据,分析影响严重程度的事故涉及车辆的动态决定因素分析。

Analysis of dynamic determinants of vehicles involved in crash affecting severity based on in-depth crash data.

机构信息

School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, China.

Newhood Technologies Co., Ltd, Changsha, China.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2024;25(3):537-543. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2024.2312517. Epub 2024 Feb 12.

DOI:10.1080/15389588.2024.2312517
PMID:38346208
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The dynamic characteristics of vehicles involved in crashes may be an important factor affecting the crash severity. This study investigates the relationship between the dynamic characteristics of vehicles involved in crashes in the five seconds before the occurrence and the crash severity. The findings aim to offer insights for preventing severe crashes and advancing autonomous vehicle technology.

METHODS

This study aims to investigate the impact of dynamic features, such as speed, acceleration, and relative distance of vehicles involved in the crash in the five seconds before the crash, on the crash severity. Five hundred ninety-six crash samples from the China In-depth Mobility Safety Study-Traffic Accident database were selected for crash reconstruction. A random parameters logit model was used to extract and analyze the effect of dynamic features of the vehicles involved in the crash on the crash severity.

RESULTS

The random parameters logit model demonstrated a satisfactory fit. Analysis of the parameter estimation results of the model showed that the variables of speed, acceleration, and relative distance between vehicles involved in the crash at some time points during the five seconds before the crash significantly affected the crash severity. Notably, the coefficient of variation of relative distance over 5 s emerged as the most influential positive determinant of the crash severity.

CONCLUSIONS

Certain dynamic characteristics of vehicles involved in a crash in the five seconds before a crash significantly impact the crash severity. The study's findings can serve as a reference for preventing severe crashes and advancing the development of autonomous vehicles.

摘要

目的

车辆在碰撞前 5 秒的动态特性可能是影响碰撞严重程度的一个重要因素。本研究旨在调查车辆在碰撞前 5 秒内的动态特性与碰撞严重程度之间的关系。研究结果旨在为预防严重碰撞和推进自动驾驶技术提供参考。

方法

本研究旨在调查车辆在碰撞前 5 秒内的速度、加速度和相对距离等动态特征对碰撞严重程度的影响。从中国深入移动安全研究-交通事故数据库中选择了 596 个碰撞样本进行碰撞重建。使用随机参数对数模型提取和分析了车辆在碰撞前 5 秒内的动态特征对碰撞严重程度的影响。

结果

随机参数对数模型拟合效果良好。模型参数估计结果分析表明,在碰撞前 5 秒内某些时间点的车辆速度、加速度和相对距离变量显著影响了碰撞严重程度。值得注意的是,相对距离在 5 秒内的变异系数是影响碰撞严重程度的最显著的正决定因素。

结论

车辆在碰撞前 5 秒内的某些动态特性显著影响碰撞严重程度。本研究结果可以为预防严重碰撞和推进自动驾驶技术的发展提供参考。

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