Li Jialing, Wu Chaoyang, Zhang Yongguang, Peñuelas Josep, Liu Lei, Ge Quansheng
International Institute for Earth System Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210023, China.
Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210023, China.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Feb 20;121(8):e2319581121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2319581121. Epub 2024 Feb 13.
The Tibetan Plateau, recognized as Earth's third pole and among the most responsive regions to climate shifts, profoundly influences regional and even global hydrological processes. Here, we discerned a significant weakening in the influence of temperature on the initiation of surface freeze-thaw cycle (the Start of Thawing, SOT), which can be ascribed to a multitude of climatic variables, with radiation emerging as the most pivotal factor. Additionally, we showed that the diminishing impact of warming on SOT yields amplified soil moisture within the root zone. This, in turn, fosters a greening third pole with increased leaf area index and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence. We further showed that current Earth system models failed to reproduce the linkage between weakened sensitivity and productivity under various shared socioeconomic pathways. Our findings highlight the dynamic shifts characterizing the influence of climate warming on spring freeze-thaw process and underscore the profound ecological implications of these changes in the context of future climate scenarios.
青藏高原被视为地球的第三极,也是对气候变化最为敏感的地区之一,对区域乃至全球水文过程有着深远影响。在此,我们发现温度对地表冻融循环起始(解冻开始,SOT)的影响显著减弱,这可归因于多种气候变量,其中辐射是最关键的因素。此外,我们表明变暖对SOT影响的减弱导致根区土壤湿度增加。这反过来又促进了第三极的绿化,叶面积指数和太阳诱导叶绿素荧光增加。我们还表明,当前的地球系统模型未能再现不同共享社会经济路径下敏感性减弱与生产力之间的联系。我们的研究结果突出了气候变暖对春季冻融过程影响的动态变化,并强调了这些变化在未来气候情景下的深远生态影响。