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影响中国危险废物非法倾倒的因素。

Factors influencing illegal dumping of hazardous waste in China.

作者信息

Jiao Jianling, He Pengwang, Zha Jianrui

机构信息

School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui, 230009, China; Philosophy and Social Sciences Laboratory of Data Science and Smart Society Governance, Ministry of Education, Hefei, Anhui, China.

School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui, 230009, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Mar;354:120366. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120366. Epub 2024 Feb 15.

Abstract

In recent years, illegal dumping of hazardous waste (IDHW) in China has become a recurring problem. Effective identification and exploration of the factors influencing illegal dumping are crucial for incident prevention and hazardous waste management, but its analysis has rarely been reported. Thus, this study focused on 568 cases of IDHW officially reported by the government. Through regular expressions, the categories of dumped wastes and the provinces where the incidents occurred were extracted. Furthermore, a comprehensive set of influencing factors was constructed by text mining for the case content and by the integration from the existing literature. On this basis, the unstructured and structured data were integrated using a Boolean dataset to respectively explore the association rules of influencing factors for the overall IDHW and for major waste categories, in conjunction with the extracted province information. Subsequently, a Bayesian network was constructed by utilizing the results of association rules mining and the key factors were identified through corresponding analysis. The findings of this study reveal a close connection between various influencing factors, with distinct key factors identified for different categories of hazardous waste. Among them, law-enforcement emerges as a crucial factor in most IDHW cases, while the factor of public monitoring for metallic hazardous waste and the factor of government supervision for distillation residue waste and other waste play a key role in their respective cases of illegal dumping. These findings offer a fresh research perspective for investigating the factors influencing IDHW and present helpful insights for developing effective strategies to prevent and control such incidents.

摘要

近年来,中国非法倾倒危险废物已成为一个反复出现的问题。有效识别和探究影响非法倾倒的因素对于预防事故和危险废物管理至关重要,但相关分析鲜有报道。因此,本研究聚焦于政府官方通报的568起非法倾倒危险废物案件。通过正则表达式,提取了倾倒废物的类别以及事故发生省份。此外,通过对案例内容进行文本挖掘并结合现有文献构建了一套全面的影响因素。在此基础上,利用布尔数据集整合非结构化和结构化数据,分别结合提取的省份信息,探究整体非法倾倒危险废物及主要废物类别的影响因素关联规则。随后,利用关联规则挖掘结果构建贝叶斯网络,并通过相应分析确定关键因素。本研究结果揭示了各影响因素之间的紧密联系,不同类别危险废物的关键因素各不相同。其中,执法在大多数非法倾倒危险废物案件中是关键因素,而公众监督对金属类危险废物、政府监管对蒸馏残渣类废物及其他废物在各自非法倾倒案件中起关键作用。这些发现为调查影响非法倾倒危险废物的因素提供了新的研究视角,并为制定有效防控此类事故的策略提供了有益见解。

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