Zhan Keyang, Pu Zhengning
School of Economics & Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, 211189, China.
Heliyon. 2024 Feb 7;10(4):e25686. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25686. eCollection 2024 Feb 29.
Digital technology enables the service industry to develop rapidly, which also brings about the increase of carbon emissions in the service industry (CESI). How to better integrate the service industry into China's carbon emission reduction model has become an important content that the Chinese government needs to pay attention to. This paper uses the industry-level panel data of the service in 30 provinces of China from 2008 to 2019 to examine the relationship between the degree of digital technology and CESI through theoretical and empirical methods. The results reveal that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between digital technology and CESI, and the effect of digital technology on curbing CESI is limited. Furthermore, the pilot policy of carbon market reduces CESI by 173.17 Mt and CESI per 10,000 people by 0.0065 Mt. Resource differences, regional differences and industrial structure differences bring about heterogeneous impacts. The Chinese government in particular, and the government established by the carbon emission reduction model should pay attention to promoting the digital transformation of the service industry to achieve the carbon emission reduction target, but the digital transformation of the service industry should be carried out in a hierarchical and orderly manner under the coordination of the government.
数字技术推动服务业快速发展，这也导致服务业碳排放增加（CESI）。如何更好地将服务业纳入中国的碳排放减排模式，已成为中国政府需要关注的重要内容。本文利用2008年至2019年中国30个省份服务业的行业层面面板数据，通过理论和实证方法研究数字技术程度与CESI之间的关系。结果表明，数字技术与CESI之间存在倒U型关系，且数字技术对抑制CESI的作用有限。此外，碳市场试点政策使CESI减少了1.7317亿吨，人均CESI减少了0.0065吨。资源差异、区域差异和产业结构差异带来了异质性影响。特别是中国政府以及由碳排放减排模式所建立的政府，应注重推动服务业数字化转型以实现碳排放减排目标，但服务业的数字化转型应在政府协调下分层次、有序地进行。
