Xi Yuyan, Guo Yuxin, Qiu Sikai, Lv Fan, Deng Yujiao, Xie Jingyi, Xing Zixuan, Bo Yajing, Chang Chenyu, Zhang Fan, Ji Fanpu, Li Mu
Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, No.157 Xi Wu Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710004, China.
Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, No.157 Xi Wu Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710004, China.
Infect Agent Cancer. 2024 Feb 20;19(1):4. doi: 10.1186/s13027-024-00567-6.
OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to assess the trend in gynaecologic cancer (GC) mortality in the period from 2010 to 2022 in the United States, with focus on the impact of the pandemic on increased deaths. METHODS: GC mortality data were extracted from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) platform. We analysed mortality trends and evaluated observed vs. predicted mortality for the period from 2020 to 2022 with joinpoint regression and prediction modelling analyses. RESULTS: A total of 334,382 deaths among adults aged 25 years and older with gynaecologic cancer were documented from 2010 to 2022. The overall age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR, per 100,000 persons) for ovarian cancer-related death decreased gradually from 7.189 in 2010 to 5.517 in 2019, yielding an APC (annual percentage change) of -2.8%. However, the decrease in ovarian cancer-related mortality slowed down by more than 4-fold during the pandemic. Cervical cancer -related mortality decreased slightly prior to the pandemic and increased during the pandemic with an APC of 0.6%, resulting in excess mortality of 4.92%, 9.73% and 2.03% in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively. For uterine corpus cancer, the ASMR increased from 1.905 in 2010 to 2.787 in 2019, and increased sharply to 3.079 in 2021 and 3.211 in 2022. The ASMR rose steadily between 2013 and 2022, yielding an APC of 6.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we found that GC-related mortality increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and this increase was not specific to age, race, or ethnicity.
目的:我们的目的是评估2010年至2022年期间美国妇科癌症(GC)死亡率的趋势,重点关注大流行对死亡人数增加的影响。 方法:从疾病控制和预防中心的广泛流行病学研究在线数据平台(CDC WONDER)提取GC死亡率数据。我们使用连接点回归和预测建模分析,分析了2020年至2022年期间的死亡率趋势,并评估了观察到的死亡率与预测死亡率。 结果:2010年至2022年期间,共记录了25岁及以上患有妇科癌症的成年人中有334,382人死亡。卵巢癌相关死亡的总体年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR,每10万人)从2010年的7.189逐渐下降到2019年的5.517,年变化百分比(APC)为-2.8%。然而,在大流行期间,卵巢癌相关死亡率的下降速度减缓了4倍多。宫颈癌相关死亡率在大流行之前略有下降,在大流行期间有所上升,APC为0.6%,导致2020年、2021年和2022年的超额死亡率分别为4.92%、9.73%和2.03%。对于子宫体癌,ASMR从2010年的1.905增加到2019年的2.787,并在2021年急剧增加到3.079,在2022年增加到3.211。2013年至2022年期间,ASMR稳步上升,APC为6.9%。 结论:总体而言,我们发现COVID-19大流行期间GC相关死亡率有所上升,且这种上升并非特定于年龄、种族或族裔。
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