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强化公共卫生接触者追踪干预对教育环境中 SARS-CoV-2 二次传播的影响:四向分解分析。

Effect of an enhanced public health contact tracing intervention on the secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in educational settings: The four-way decomposition analysis.

机构信息

Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy.

Centre for Environmental, Nutritional and Genetic Epidemiology (CREAGEN), University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.

出版信息

Elife. 2024 Feb 28;13:e85802. doi: 10.7554/eLife.85802.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The aim of our study was to test the hypothesis that the community contact tracing strategy of testing contacts in households immediately instead of at the end of quarantine had an impact on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in schools in Reggio Emilia Province.

METHODS

We analysed surveillance data on notification of COVID-19 cases in schools between 1 September 2020 and 4 April 2021. We have applied a mediation analysis that allows for interaction between the intervention (before/after period) and the mediator.

RESULTS

Median tracing delay decreased from 7 to 3.1 days and the percentage of the known infection source increased from 34-54.8% (incident rate ratio-IRR 1.61 1.40-1.86). Implementation of prompt contact tracing was associated with a 10% decrease in the number of secondary cases (excess relative risk -0.1 95% CI -0.35-0.15). Knowing the source of infection of the index case led to a decrease in secondary transmission (IRR 0.75 95% CI 0.63-0.91) while the decrease in tracing delay was associated with decreased risk of secondary cases (1/IRR 0.97 95% CI 0.94-1.01 per one day of delay). The direct effect of the intervention accounted for the 29% decrease in the number of secondary cases (excess relative risk -0.29 95%-0.61 to 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Prompt contact testing in the community reduces the time of contact tracing and increases the ability to identify the source of infection in school outbreaks. Although there are strong reasons for thinking it is a causal link, observed differences can be also due to differences in the force of infection and to other control measures put in place.

FUNDING

This project was carried out with the technical and financial support of the Italian Ministry of Health - CCM 2020 and Ricerca Corrente Annual Program 2023.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在检验以下假设,即在雷焦艾米利亚省(意大利北部城市),社区接触者追踪策略是对家庭中的接触者进行立即检测而不是在隔离结束时进行检测,这对学校中 SARS-CoV-2 的传播有影响。

方法

我们分析了 2020 年 9 月 1 日至 2021 年 4 月 4 日期间学校内 COVID-19 病例的监测数据。我们应用了一种中介分析,该分析允许干预(前后时期)和中介之间进行交互。

结果

中位追踪延迟从 7 天缩短至 3.1 天,已知感染源的比例从 34-54.8%(发病率比-IRR 1.61 1.40-1.86)。实施及时的接触者追踪与二次病例数减少 10%相关(超额相对风险-0.1 95%CI-0.35-0.15)。了解索引病例的感染源可降低二次传播的风险(IRR 0.75 95%CI 0.63-0.91),而追踪延迟的减少与二次病例风险的降低相关(每延迟一天 1/IRR 0.97 95%CI 0.94-1.01)。干预的直接效应占二次病例数减少的 29%(超额相对风险-0.29 95%-0.61 至 0.03)。

结论

在社区中及时进行接触者检测可缩短接触追踪的时间,并提高在学校疫情中识别感染源的能力。尽管有充分的理由认为这是一种因果关系,但观察到的差异也可能归因于感染强度的差异以及实施的其他控制措施。

资金

本项目在意大利卫生部-CCM 2020 和 2023 年年度研究计划的技术和资金支持下进行。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0e6f/10901504/c35820757fc1/elife-85802-fig1.jpg

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