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绿色能源、创新和技术在缓解温室气体排放方面的非对称作用:来自印度的证据。

Asymmetric role of green energy, innovation, and technology in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions: evidence from India.

机构信息

Department of Management Studies, Graphic Era Deemed to be University, Dehradun, 248002, India.

College of Business, Al Ain University, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Mar;31(15):23146-23161. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32582-w. Epub 2024 Feb 28.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-024-32582-w
PMID:38416353
Abstract

The primary cause of environmental degradation, which poses a danger to the long-term viability of the ecosystem, is the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG). For this reason, the Glasgow Climate Pact (COP26) established a decarbonization goal in response to this ecological concern, for which all economic players have a responsibility. India is among the participants who have a target set for them to decarbonize their economies by the year 2060 via the use of green energy and the advancement of science and innovation. Nevertheless, the asymmetrical effect of green energy, technology, and innovation on India's decarbonization program was not sufficiently explored in the prior study; hence, this research aims to fill this literature vacuum by considering India's GHG emissions from 1990 to 2020 by leveraging the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. The findings reveal the asymmetric influences of variables of interest on GHG emissions during the short and long term and under positive and negative shocks. Regarding the positive shock, long-term findings demonstrate that innovation and technical know-how grow GHG emissions and accelerate environmental degradation. However, a negative shock in innovations and technological know-how is opposed to a positive shock and improving environmental conditions. Further, positive shocks in green energy boost environmental effectiveness by reducing GHG secretions in India. In contrast, the negative shock in green energy deteriorates the environment by triggering GHG releases. These factual findings compel the Indian government to prioritize green technologies in addition to green energy generation to decouple economic growth from greenhouse gas emissions and meet rising energy demands.

摘要

环境恶化的主要原因是温室气体(GHG)的排放,这对生态系统的长期生存构成了威胁。出于这个原因,格拉斯哥气候公约(COP26)针对这一生态问题制定了脱碳目标,所有经济参与者都对此负有责任。印度是参与国之一,他们的目标是到 2060 年通过使用绿色能源和推进科学创新实现经济脱碳。然而,之前的研究并没有充分探讨绿色能源、技术和创新对印度脱碳计划的非对称影响;因此,这项研究旨在通过利用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型来考虑印度 1990 年至 2020 年的温室气体排放,填补这一文献空白。研究结果表明,在短期和长期以及在正向和负向冲击下,变量对温室气体排放的不对称影响。关于正向冲击,长期研究结果表明,创新和技术诀窍会增加温室气体排放并加速环境恶化。然而,创新和技术诀窍的负冲击与正冲击相反,可以改善环境条件。此外,绿色能源的正冲击通过减少印度的温室气体排放来提高环境效率。相比之下,绿色能源的负冲击通过引发温室气体释放来恶化环境。这些事实结果迫使印度政府除了绿色能源发电之外,还要优先考虑绿色技术,以实现经济增长与温室气体排放脱钩,满足不断增长的能源需求。

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