Institute of Defense Economics and Management, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Apr;31(16):23909-23923. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32718-y. Epub 2024 Mar 2.
In the complex international society, the economic development and defense construction of BRICS countries have attracted increasing attention. This article incorporates technological innovation, militarization, and environmental change into a unified analytical framework to assess the potential impact of technological progress and defense military expenditure on the environment in BRICS countries. Based on CSD tests, unit root tests, and cointegration tests, this study constructs a CS-ARDL model to examine the long-term and short-term relationships among various variables from 1990 to 2021. The results show that technological innovation, military expenditure, and economic growth can significantly increase ecological footprint in the long run, while in the short term, technological innovation and economic growth significantly increase ecological footprint, and the impact of military expenditure is not significant. It is suggested that BRICS countries should focus on supporting low-carbon technology policies and research and development investment, while also considering the use of cutting-edge technology to improve military intelligence capabilities in order to reduce the negative impact of technological innovation and military activities on the environment.
在复杂的国际社会中,金砖国家的经济发展和国防建设受到了越来越多的关注。本文将技术创新、军事化和环境变化纳入一个统一的分析框架,以评估技术进步和国防军费支出对金砖国家环境的潜在影响。基于协整检验、单位根检验和误差修正模型,本研究构建了 CS-ARDL 模型,从 1990 年到 2021 年检验了各种变量之间的长期和短期关系。结果表明,技术创新、军费支出和经济增长从长期来看会显著增加生态足迹,而在短期内,技术创新和经济增长会显著增加生态足迹,军费支出的影响不显著。建议金砖国家应注重支持低碳技术政策和研发投资,同时考虑利用尖端技术提高军事智能化能力,以减少技术创新和军事活动对环境的负面影响。