Lu Hongyou, You Kairui, Feng Wei, Zhou Nan, Fridley David, Price Lynn, de la Rue du Can Stephane
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Institute of Technology for Carbon Neutrality, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China.
iScience. 2024 Jan 26;27(3):109028. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2024.109028. eCollection 2024 Mar 15.
Embodied emissions from the production of building materials account for 17% of China's carbon dioxide (CO) emissions and are important to focus on as China aims to achieve its carbon neutrality goals. However, there is a lack of systematic assessments on embodied emissions reduction potential of building materials that consider both the heterogeneous industrial characteristics as well as the Chinese buildings sector context. Here, we developed an integrated model that combines future demand of building materials in China with the strategies to reduce CO emissions associated with their production, using, and recycling. We found that measures to improve material efficiency in the value-chain has the largest CO mitigation potential before 2030 in both Low Carbon and Carbon Neutrality Scenarios, and continues to be significant through 2060. Policies to accelerate material efficiency practices, such as incorporating embodied emissions in building codes and conducting robust research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) in carbon removal are critical.
建筑材料生产过程中的隐含排放占中国二氧化碳(CO₂)排放量的17%,在中国致力于实现碳中和目标的过程中,这是一个值得重点关注的领域。然而,目前缺乏对建筑材料隐含排放减排潜力的系统性评估,这种评估既没有考虑到不同行业的特点,也没有结合中国建筑行业的实际情况。在此,我们开发了一个综合模型,该模型将中国未来的建筑材料需求与减少建筑材料生产、使用和回收过程中CO₂排放的策略相结合。我们发现,在低碳和碳中和情景下,提高价值链中材料效率的措施在2030年前具有最大的CO₂减排潜力,并将持续到2060年。加快材料效率实践的政策,如将隐含排放纳入建筑规范,以及在碳去除方面进行强有力的研究、开发和示范(RD&D),至关重要。