文献检索文档翻译深度研究
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
邀请有礼套餐&价格历史记录

新学期,新优惠

限时优惠:9月1日-9月22日

30天高级会员仅需29元

1天体验卡首发特惠仅需5.99元

了解详情
不再提醒
插件&应用
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
高级版
套餐订阅购买积分包
AI 工具
文献检索文档翻译深度研究
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2025

用于识别 2 型糖尿病患者轻度认知障碍的预测模型:CHAID 决策树分析。

Predictive model for identifying mild cognitive impairment in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A CHAID decision tree analysis.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.

Department of Nephrology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.

出版信息

Brain Behav. 2024 Mar;14(3):e3456. doi: 10.1002/brb3.3456.


DOI:10.1002/brb3.3456
PMID:38450963
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10918605/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: As the population ages, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) become common conditions that often coexist. Evidence has shown that MCI could lead to reduced treatment compliance, medication management, and self-care ability in T2DM patients. Therefore, early identification of those with increased risk of MCI is crucial from a preventive perspective. Given the growing utilization of decision trees in prediction of health-related outcomes, this study aimed to identify MCI in T2DM patients using the decision tree approach. METHODS: This hospital-based case-control study was performed in the Endocrinology Department of Xiangya Hospital affiliated to Central South University between March 2021 and December 2022. MCI was defined based on the Petersen criteria. Demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and T2DM-related information were collected. The study sample was randomly divided into the training and validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed, and a decision tree model was established using the chi-square automatic interaction detection (CHAID) algorithm to identify key predictor variables associated with MCI. The area under the curve (AUC) value was used to evaluate the performance of the established decision tree model, and the performance of multivariate regression model was also evaluated for comparison. RESULTS: A total of 1001 participants (705 in the training set and 296 in the validation set) were included in this study. The mean age of participants in the training and validation sets was 60.2  ±  10.3 and 60.4  ±  9.5 years, respectively. There were no significant differences in the characteristics between the training and validation sets (p > .05). The CHAID decision tree analysis identified six key predictor variables associated with MCI, including age, educational level, household income, regular physical activity, diabetic nephropathy, and diabetic retinopathy. The established decision tree model had 15 nodes composed of 4 layers, and age is the most significant predictor variable. It performed well (AUC = .75 [95% confidence interval (CI): .71-.78] and .67 [95% CI: .61-.74] in the training and validation sets, respectively), was internally validated, and had comparable predictive value compared to the multivariate logistic regression model (AUC = .76 [95% CI: .72-.80] and .69 [95% CI: .62-.75] in the training and validation sets, respectively). CONCLUSION: The established decision tree model based on age, educational level, household income, regular physical activity, diabetic nephropathy, and diabetic retinopathy performed well with comparable predictive value compared to the multivariate logistic regression model and was internally validated. Due to its superior classification accuracy and simple presentation as well as interpretation of collected data, the decision tree model is more recommended for the prediction of MCI in T2DM patients in clinical practice.

摘要

背景:随着人口老龄化,轻度认知障碍(MCI)和 2 型糖尿病(T2DM)成为常见的并存病症。有证据表明,MCI 可能导致 T2DM 患者的治疗依从性、药物管理和自我护理能力下降。因此,从预防的角度来看,早期识别那些有更高 MCI 风险的人至关重要。鉴于决策树在预测健康相关结果方面的应用日益增多,本研究旨在使用决策树方法识别 T2DM 患者中的 MCI。

方法:这是一项 2021 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月在中南大学湘雅医院内分泌科进行的基于医院的病例对照研究。MCI 根据彼得森标准定义。收集人口统计学特征、生活方式因素和 T2DM 相关信息。研究样本以 7:3 的比例随机分为训练集和验证集。进行单变量和多变量分析,并使用卡方自动交互检测(CHAID)算法建立决策树模型,以确定与 MCI 相关的关键预测变量。使用曲线下面积(AUC)值评估建立的决策树模型的性能,并比较多变量回归模型的性能。

结果:共有 1001 名参与者(训练集 705 名,验证集 296 名)纳入本研究。训练集和验证集参与者的平均年龄分别为 60.2±10.3 岁和 60.4±9.5 岁。两组的特征无显著差异(p>.05)。CHAID 决策树分析确定了与 MCI 相关的六个关键预测变量,包括年龄、教育程度、家庭收入、有规律的体育活动、糖尿病肾病和糖尿病视网膜病变。建立的决策树模型有 15 个节点,由 4 层组成,年龄是最重要的预测变量。它表现良好(训练集 AUC=0.75[95%置信区间(CI):0.71-0.78]和验证集 AUC=0.67[95%CI:0.61-0.74]),经过内部验证,与多变量逻辑回归模型具有可比的预测价值(训练集 AUC=0.76[95%CI:0.72-0.80]和验证集 AUC=0.69[95%CI:0.62-0.75])。

结论:基于年龄、教育程度、家庭收入、有规律的体育活动、糖尿病肾病和糖尿病视网膜病变的决策树模型表现良好,与多变量逻辑回归模型具有可比的预测价值,并且经过内部验证。由于其具有较高的分类准确性以及对收集数据的简单呈现和解释,决策树模型更推荐用于临床实践中 T2DM 患者 MCI 的预测。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c97/10918605/1f8d456860a6/BRB3-14-e3456-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c97/10918605/fc3649c2e4f3/BRB3-14-e3456-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c97/10918605/1f8d456860a6/BRB3-14-e3456-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c97/10918605/fc3649c2e4f3/BRB3-14-e3456-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c97/10918605/1f8d456860a6/BRB3-14-e3456-g001.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Predictive model for identifying mild cognitive impairment in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A CHAID decision tree analysis.

Brain Behav. 2024-3

[2]
Prescription of Controlled Substances: Benefits and Risks

2025-1

[3]
Intensive glucose control versus conventional glucose control for type 1 diabetes mellitus.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014-2-14

[4]
Plasma and cerebrospinal fluid amyloid beta for the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease dementia and other dementias in people with mild cognitive impairment (MCI).

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014-6-10

[5]
Are Current Survival Prediction Tools Useful When Treating Subsequent Skeletal-related Events From Bone Metastases?

Clin Orthop Relat Res. 2024-9-1

[6]
Signs and symptoms to determine if a patient presenting in primary care or hospital outpatient settings has COVID-19.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022-5-20

[7]
[Association between obesity and the risk of microvascular complications in Yinzhou District, Ningbo adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus].

Wei Sheng Yan Jiu. 2025-7

[8]
[Construction of a predictive model for hospital-acquired pneumonia risk in patients with mild traumatic brain injury based on LASSO-Logistic regression analysis].

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2025-4

[9]
Diet, physical activity or both for prevention or delay of type 2 diabetes mellitus and its associated complications in people at increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2017-12-4

[10]
Comparison of Two Modern Survival Prediction Tools, SORG-MLA and METSSS, in Patients With Symptomatic Long-bone Metastases Who Underwent Local Treatment With Surgery Followed by Radiotherapy and With Radiotherapy Alone.

Clin Orthop Relat Res. 2024-12-1

引用本文的文献

[1]
Assessing psychological resilience and its influencing factors in the MSM population by machine learning.

Sci Rep. 2025-7-5

[2]
Patterns among factors associated with myocardial infarction: chi-squared automatic interaction detection tree and binary logit model.

BMC Public Health. 2025-1-24

[3]
Association of glycogen synthase kinase-3β with cognitive impairment in type 2 diabetes patients: a six-year follow-up study.

Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2024-4-10

本文引用的文献

[1]
Factors related to suicidal ideation of schizophrenia patients in China: a study based on decision tree and logistic regression model.

Psychol Health Med. 2024-8

[2]
An Overview of Machine Learning Applications in Sports Injury Prediction.

Cureus. 2023-9-28

[3]
A decision tree model to predict liver cirrhosis in hepatocellular carcinoma patients: a retrospective study.

PeerJ. 2023

[4]
Causal effects of diabetic retinopathy on depression, anxiety and bipolar disorder in the European population: a Mendelian randomization study.

J Endocrinol Invest. 2024-3

[5]
Depression in Individuals With Diabetic Retinopathy in the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2005-2008.

Am J Ophthalmol. 2023-12

[6]
A decision tree analysis to predict clinical outcome of minimally invasive lumbar decompression surgery for lumbar spinal stenosis with and without coexisting spondylolisthesis and scoliosis.

Spine J. 2023-7

[7]
The application of machine learning to predict high-cost patients: A performance-comparison of different models using healthcare claims data.

PLoS One. 2023

[8]
Risk factor analysis and clinical decision tree model construction for diabetic retinopathy in Western China.

World J Diabetes. 2022-11-15

[9]
Development of a Model Predicting the Outcome of Fertilization Cycles by a Robust Decision Tree Method.

Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2022

[10]
Comparison of Conventional Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Methods for Predicting Delayed Cerebral Ischemia After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Multicentric Observational Cohort Study.

Front Aging Neurosci. 2022-6-17

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

推荐工具

医学文档翻译智能文献检索