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[2005 - 2019年巴西20岁及以上女性乳腺癌死亡率趋势]

[Trend in breast cancer mortality rate among women aged 20 years or older in Brazil, 2005-2019].

作者信息

Silva Gabriela Rodarte Pedroso da, Guimarães Rafael Alves, Vieira Flaviana Vely Mendonça, Silva George Oliveira, Oliveira Faétila Dos Santos, Aredes Natália Del' Angelo

机构信息

Faculdade de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal de Goiás. R. 235, Qd. 41, Lt.23, Setor Leste Universitário. 74340-025 Goiânia GO Brasil.

Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Faculdade de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal de Goiás. Goiânia GO Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2024 Mar;29(3):e01712023. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232024293.01712023. Epub 2023 May 4.

DOI:10.1590/1413-81232024293.01712023
PMID:38451636
Abstract

The aim is to analyze the trend in breast cancer mortality rates and its correlation with the socioeconomic development status in Brazil. It involved an ecological time series study carried out in the 26 units of the federation, Federal District and regions of Brazil. Data sources included the Mortality Information System (number of deaths), the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (resident population) and the study of the Global Burden of Disease (Socio-demographic Index - SDI). Data from 2005 to 2019 were used. The trend was analyzed using Prais-Winsten regression models. The relationship between the mortality rate and the SDI was analyzed using Spearman's correlation coefficient. During the study period, 207,683 deaths from breast cancer occurred. The average standardized mortality rate was 19.95 deaths per 100,000 women in Brazil. All the regions of Brazil showed an increasing trend in mortality. Of the total federative units, 22 showed an increasing trend. There was a positive relationship between the mortality rate and the SDI. The standardized mortality rate for breast cancer showed an increasing trend in Brazil, in all regions and in most states. There was a direct association between mortality and SDI, indicating a greater magnitude in more developed regions.

摘要

目的是分析巴西乳腺癌死亡率的趋势及其与社会经济发展状况的相关性。该研究为一项生态时间序列研究,在巴西联邦的26个单位、联邦区和各地区开展。数据来源包括死亡信息系统(死亡人数)、巴西地理与统计研究所(常住人口)以及全球疾病负担研究(社会人口学指数 - SDI)。使用了2005年至2019年的数据。采用普雷斯 - 温斯坦回归模型分析趋势。使用斯皮尔曼相关系数分析死亡率与SDI之间的关系。在研究期间,发生了207,683例乳腺癌死亡病例。巴西每10万名女性的平均标准化死亡率为19.95例死亡。巴西所有地区的死亡率均呈上升趋势。在所有联邦单位中,22个呈现上升趋势。死亡率与SDI之间存在正相关关系。巴西、所有地区以及大多数州的乳腺癌标准化死亡率均呈上升趋势。死亡率与SDI之间存在直接关联,表明在更发达地区幅度更大。

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