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[2010年至2019年巴西结核病死亡率趋势及其与社会人口指数的相关性]

[Tuberculosis mortality trends and the correlation with the socio-demographic index in Brazil between 2010 and 2019].

作者信息

Queiroz Juliana Rodrigues de, Vieira Nayara Figueiredo, Oliveira Michele Dias da Silva, Maia Ludmila Grego, Figueiredo Rogério Carvalho de, Gonzalez Roxana Isabel Cardozo, Guimarães Rafael Alves

机构信息

Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Universidade Federal de Goiás. R. 235 s/n, Setor Leste Universitário. 74605-050 Goiânia GO Brasil.

Faculdade de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal de Goiás. Goiânia GO Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2024 May;29(5):e00532023. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232024295.00532023. Epub 2023 Jul 2.

DOI:10.1590/1413-81232024295.00532023
PMID:38747757
Abstract

The scope of this article is to analyze the trend of the standardized mortality rate (SMR) for tuberculosis and its correlation with the developmental status in Brazil. An ecological time series study was conducted to analyze data of deaths from tuberculosis reported between 2005 and 2019 in all states. Data were extracted from the Mortality Information System, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics, and the Global Burden of Disease study. The temporal trend was analyzed using Prais-Winsten regression. Spearman's correlation analysis between SMR and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) was also performed. From 2005 to 2019, 68,879 deaths from tuberculosis were recorded in Brazil. The average mortality rate was 2.3 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. The decreasing trend of SMR due to tuberculosis was observed in Brazil and in all regions. There was a significant negative correlation between SDI and TMP. TMP due to tuberculosis revealed a decreasing trend in Brazil and in all regions. Most states showed a decreasing trend and none of them had an increasing trend. An inverse relationship was found between developmental status and mortality due to tuberculosis.

摘要

本文的范围是分析巴西结核病标准化死亡率(SMR)的趋势及其与发展状况的相关性。进行了一项生态时间序列研究,以分析2005年至2019年期间巴西所有州报告的结核病死亡数据。数据取自死亡率信息系统、巴西地理与统计研究所以及全球疾病负担研究。使用普雷斯-温斯坦回归分析时间趋势。还进行了SMR与社会人口指数(SDI)之间的斯皮尔曼相关性分析。2005年至2019年期间,巴西记录了68879例结核病死亡病例。平均死亡率为每10万居民2.3例死亡。在巴西以及所有地区都观察到结核病导致的SMR呈下降趋势。SDI与TMP之间存在显著负相关。巴西以及所有地区结核病导致的TMP呈下降趋势。大多数州呈下降趋势,没有一个州呈上升趋势。发现发展状况与结核病死亡率之间存在反比关系。

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