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花钱买广告还是登上新闻?政党在竞选期间如何让公民相信他们处理问题的能力。

Paying for ads or getting into the news? How parties persuade citizens of their issue competence during an election campaign.

作者信息

Petitpas Adrien

机构信息

University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

Party Politics. 2024 Mar;30(2):292-307. doi: 10.1177/13540688221133070. Epub 2022 Nov 20.

DOI:10.1177/13540688221133070
PMID:38455684
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10914639/
Abstract

During campaigns, parties must defend their reputation of competence on issues to persuade citizens to vote for them (issue ownership). Consequently, what are the most effective strategies to achieve this? I argue that direct (advertising) and indirect (media coverage) communication strategies have different effects on citizens' perception of party competence. To analyze the impact of campaign dynamics on citizens, I use three data sources: an individual rolling cross-section panel, a media coverage analysis, and a parties' advertisements analysis. I link those data on a daily basis to capture the dynamics of parties' communication and citizens' opinion. The results show that advertisements help parties to win and maintain their issue ownership, while media coverage only helps parties to maintain their ownership. The study has scientific and practical implications with regard to party strategy, campaigns, and citizens' perceptions of parties.

摘要

在竞选活动期间,政党必须捍卫自己在议题上的能力声誉,以说服公民投票支持他们(议题主导权)。那么,实现这一目标的最有效策略是什么呢?我认为,直接(广告宣传)和间接(媒体报道)沟通策略对公民对政党能力的认知有不同影响。为了分析竞选动态对公民的影响,我使用了三个数据源:一个个体滚动横截面面板、一个媒体报道分析和一个政党广告分析。我每天将这些数据关联起来,以捕捉政党沟通和公民意见的动态变化。结果表明,广告有助于政党赢得并维持其议题主导权,而媒体报道仅有助于政党维持其主导权。该研究在政党策略、竞选活动以及公民对政党的认知方面具有科学和实践意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/b956bafc749d/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/c3e56c8240a3/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/db4e3aae8ba1/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/cb5f86dcfe18/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/b956bafc749d/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/c3e56c8240a3/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/db4e3aae8ba1/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/cb5f86dcfe18/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96dc/10914639/b956bafc749d/10.1177_13540688221133070-fig4.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Partisan Bias in Message Selection: Media Gatekeeping of Party Press Releases.信息选择中的党派偏见:政党新闻稿的媒体把关
Polit Commun. 2017 Jul 3;34(3):367-384. doi: 10.1080/10584609.2016.1265619.
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The coefficient of determination and intra-class correlation coefficient from generalized linear mixed-effects models revisited and expanded.重访和扩展广义线性混合效应模型的决定系数和组内相关系数。
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关于政党能力的调查问题:认知访谈的见解
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