Department of Political Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Annenberg Public Policy Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Sci Adv. 2024 Mar 8;10(10):eadk9590. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adk9590.
Have perceptions of the U.S. Supreme Court polarized, much like the rest of American politics? Because of the Court's unique role, for many years, it remained one of the few institutions respected by both Democrats and Republicans alike. But the Court's dramatic shift to the right in recent years-highlighted by its decision in 2022-potentially upends that logic. Using both eight waves of panel data and 18 nationally representative surveys spanning two decades, we show that while there was little evidence of partisan polarization in earlier years, in 2022 and 2023, such patterns are clear in favorability, trust, legitimacy, and support for reform. Factors that used to protect the Court-like knowledge about it and support for key democratic values-no longer do so. The Court has also become more important to voters, and will likely remain a political flashpoint, with disquieting implications for the Court's place in our polity.
公众对美国最高法院的看法是否两极分化,就像美国其他政治领域一样?由于最高法院的独特角色,多年来,它一直是为数不多的得到民主党和共和党双方尊重的机构之一。但近年来,最高法院明显向右转——2022 年的裁决突显了这一点——这可能颠覆了这一逻辑。我们利用 8 轮面板数据和 20 年来的 18 项全国代表性调查,表明虽然前些年几乎没有党派极化的证据,但在 2022 年和 2023 年,这种模式在好感度、信任度、合法性和支持改革方面表现得很明显。过去保护法院的因素——如对它的了解和对关键民主价值观的支持——不再起作用。最高法院对选民来说也变得更加重要,可能仍然是一个政治焦点,这对法院在我们政体中的地位产生了令人不安的影响。