流行病学证据是否支持乌干达应对新冠疫情的成功案例？
Does epidemiological evidence support the success story of Uganda's response to COVID-19?
作者信息
Laing Nicolas, Mylan Sophie, Parker Melissa
机构信息
OneDay Health, Gulu, Uganda.
Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), LondonWC1H 9SH, UK.
出版信息
J Biosoc Sci. 2024 Mar 11:1-8. doi: 10.1017/S0021932024000117.
Abstract
Uganda has received praise for its success in dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic. This opinion piece uses publically available data from Johns Hopkins University to suggest that it is far from clear whether the Public Health and Social Measures (PHSM) introduced in Uganda influenced the course of the first outbreak. In addition, the analysis of data from the second and third waves in Uganda suggest that government action had little or no effect on these outbreaks. The dominant narrative of successful PHSM, therefore, needs to be reconsidered, and alternative explanations for the low rates of COVID-19-related mortality in the country need to be further understood.
摘要
乌干达在应对新冠疫情方面取得的成功受到了赞誉。这篇评论文章利用约翰·霍普金斯大学公开的数据表明，乌干达引入的公共卫生和社会措施（PHSM）是否影响了首次疫情的发展进程，远未明确。此外，对乌干达第二波和第三波疫情数据的分析表明，政府行动对这些疫情几乎没有影响。因此，需要重新审视关于PHSM取得成功的主流说法，并进一步了解该国新冠相关死亡率较低的其他原因。
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