Dong Xintong, Liu Shuai
College of Economics and Management, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, 130118, China.
Center for Rural Economics in Major Grain-producing Areas, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, 130118, China.
Heliyon. 2024 Mar 1;10(5):e27249. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27249. eCollection 2024 Mar 15.
China's agricultural development has entered a period of transition, and improving the cultivated land use efficiency (CLUE) is of great significance for guaranteeing national food security. Based on the province panel data in China from 2000 to 2021, this research calculates the cultivated land use efficiency, and uses the Dagum-Gini coefficient, Kernel density estimation, and Markov chain to conduct an in-depth analysis of CLUE's regional variations and distribution dynamics in three food functional areas (TFA) of China. The study results showed that the trend of CLUE was characterized by "increasing levels and decreasing absolute differences," not only in the whole country but also in the TFA. The inter-regional variation among TFA is gradually narrowing, and the cross-group degree of inter-regional variation is on the rise. The upward probability of CLUE was more effective than the probability of a transitionary change, and the mutual influence of CLUE between neighboring cities would lead to spatial convergence in the level of CLUE in the long term. Therefore, improving CLUE in China's TFA should not only grasp the regional differences in CLUE but also actively utilize the spatial spillover effects among functional regions to realize the cross-regional synergistic development of cropland utilization efficiency in China.
中国农业发展已进入转型期,提高耕地利用效率对保障国家粮食安全具有重要意义。基于2000—2021年中国省级面板数据,本研究测算耕地利用效率,并运用达古姆基尼系数、核密度估计和马尔可夫链对中国三大粮食功能区的耕地利用效率区域差异及分布动态进行深入分析。研究结果表明,耕地利用效率的趋势表现为“水平上升、绝对差异减小”,不仅在全国范围内如此,在三大粮食功能区内亦是如此。三大粮食功能区之间的区域间差异逐渐缩小,区域间差异的跨组程度呈上升趋势。耕地利用效率向上变化的概率比跃迁变化的概率更有效,相邻城市间耕地利用效率的相互影响将导致长期内耕地利用效率水平的空间收敛。因此,提高中国三大粮食功能区的耕地利用效率,不仅要把握耕地利用效率的区域差异,还要积极利用功能区之间的空间溢出效应,实现中国耕地利用效率的跨区域协同发展。