Lomholt Frederikke Kristensen, Emborg Hanne-Dorthe, Nørgaard Sarah Kristine, Nielsen Jens, Munkstrup Charlotte, Møller Karina Lauenborg, Krog Jesper Schak, Trebbien Ramona, Vestergaard Lasse Skafte
Department of Infections Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Division of Infectious Disease Preparedness, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Open Forum Infect Dis. 2024 Feb 5;11(3):ofae069. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofae069. eCollection 2024 Mar.
When coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) restrictions were lifted in Denmark in the spring of 2021, a surge in respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) cases followed, causing a large out-of-season epidemic. This study aims to investigate the summer epidemic compared with 3 typical pre-COVID-19 RSV winter seasons using Danish registers to identify RSV cases, RSV-related admissions, and use of intensive care treatment.
Incidence rates (IR) per 1000 person-years for RSV cases, RSV-related admissions, and intensive care treatment were calculated with 95% confidence interval (CI) for each season, stratified by age groups and incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% CI were calculated to compare the summer epidemic with the winter season for 2019-2020.
In the summer epidemic, the IR of RSV cases and admissions exceeded previous winter seasons for all age groups. The highest increases in IRs were seen among children aged 2 to 3 years and 4 to 5 years. The IRR of cases were 4.6 (95% CI, 4.1-5.2) and 3.3 (2.6-4.2) and the IRR of admissions were 3.3 (2.7-4.2) and 3.8 (2.3-6.5) in the 2 age groups, respectively, when compared with the winter season 2019-2020.
Likely because of immunity debt following COVID-19 restrictions, the summer epidemic was significantly larger than previous winter seasons, most markedly among children aged 2 to 3 and 4 to 5 years but had a similar disease severity spectrum.
2021年春季丹麦解除2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)限制措施后,呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)病例激增,引发了一次大规模的非季节性疫情。本研究旨在利用丹麦登记系统来识别RSV病例、RSV相关住院病例以及重症监护治疗的使用情况,将此次夏季疫情与3个典型的COVID-19大流行前RSV冬季季节进行比较。
计算每个季节每1000人年的RSV病例、RSV相关住院病例和重症监护治疗的发病率(IR)及其95%置信区间(CI),按年龄组分层,并计算发病率比(IRR)及其95%CI,以比较2019 - 2020年夏季疫情与冬季疫情。
在夏季疫情中,所有年龄组的RSV病例和住院病例发病率均超过了前几个冬季。2至3岁和4至5岁儿童的发病率增幅最高。与2019 - 2020年冬季相比,这两个年龄组的病例发病率比分别为4.6(95%CI,4.1 - 5.2)和3.3(2.6 - 4.2),住院病例发病率比分别为3.3(2.7 - 4.2)和3.8(2.3 - 6.5)。
可能由于COVID-19限制措施导致的免疫债,夏季疫情明显大于前几个冬季,在2至3岁和4至5岁儿童中最为明显,但疾病严重程度谱相似。