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全球饮用水中的三卤甲烷:分布、风险评估以及膀胱癌归因疾病负担。

Trihalomethanes in global drinking water: Distributions, risk assessments, and attributable disease burden of bladder cancer.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education & Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; Research Institute for Environmental Innovation (Suzhou), Tsinghua, Suzhou 215163, China.

出版信息

J Hazard Mater. 2024 May 5;469:133760. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.133760. Epub 2024 Feb 10.

Abstract

This study aimed to assess the global spatiotemporal variations of trihalomethanes (THMs) in drinking water, evaluate their cancer and non-cancer risks, and THM-attributable bladder cancer burden. THM concentrations in drinking water around fifty years on a global scale were integrated. Health risks were assessed using Monte Carlo simulations and attributable bladder cancer burden was estimated by comparative risk assessment methodology. The results showed that global mean THM concentrations in drinking water significantly decreased from 78.37 μg/L (1973-1983) to 51.99 μg/L (1984-2004) and to 21.90 μg/L (after 2004). The lifestage-integrative cancer risk and hazard index of THMs through all exposure pathways were acceptable with the average level of 6.45 × 10 and 7.63 × 10, respectively. The global attributable disability adjusted of life years (DALYs) and the age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) dropped by 16% and 56% from 1990-1994 to 2015-2019, respectively. A big decline in the attributable ASDR was observed in the United Kingdom (62%) and the United States (27%), while China experienced a nearly 3-fold increase due to the expanded water supply coverage and increased life expectancy. However, China also benefited from the spread of chlorination, which helped reduce nearly 90% of unsafe-water-caused mortality from 1998 to 2018.

摘要

本研究旨在评估全球饮用水中三卤甲烷(THMs)的时空变化,评估其致癌和非致癌风险,以及 THM 归因膀胱癌负担。综合了全球范围内约五十年的饮用水中 THM 浓度数据。采用蒙特卡罗模拟法评估健康风险,采用比较风险评估方法估算 THM 归因膀胱癌负担。结果表明,全球饮用水中 THM 浓度从 1973-1983 年的 78.37μg/L 显著下降至 1984-2004 年的 51.99μg/L 和 2004 年后的 21.90μg/L。通过所有暴露途径,THMs 的终生综合癌症风险和危害指数处于可接受水平,平均值分别为 6.45×10-6 和 7.63×10-6。全球归因残疾调整生命年(DALYs)和年龄标准化 DALYs 率(ASDR)从 1990-1994 年至 2015-2019 年分别下降了 16%和 56%。英国(62%)和美国(27%)的归因 ASDR 大幅下降,而中国由于供水覆盖面扩大和预期寿命增加,归因 ASDR 几乎增加了 3 倍。然而,中国也受益于氯化消毒的普及,这有助于减少 1998 年至 2018 年因不安全用水导致的死亡人数近 90%。

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