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南卡罗来纳州2015年特大洪水的双重差分分析及其与孕产妇健康的关联

A Difference-In Difference Analysis of the South Carolina 2015 Extreme Floods and the Association with Maternal Health.

作者信息

Sugg Maggie M, Runkle Jennifer D, Ryan Sophie, Wertis Luke

机构信息

Department of Geography and Planning, Appalachian State University, Boone, North Carolina.

North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, North Carolina State University, Asheville, North Carolina.

出版信息

Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 2023 Oct 15;97. doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104037. Epub 2023 Sep 29.

Abstract

Research documenting the public health impacts of natural disasters often focuses on adults and children. Little research has examined the influence of extreme events, like floods, on maternal health, and less has examined the effect of disasters on maternal indicators like severe maternal morbidity (SMM) or unexpected outcomes of labor and delivery that result in significant short-or long-term consequences to a woman's health. The aim of this study is to identify the impacts of the 2015 flood events on maternal health outcomes in South Carolina, USA. We employ a quasi-experimental design using a difference-in-difference analysis with log-binomial regressions to evaluate maternal outcomes for impacted and control locations during the disaster event. Unlike previous studies, we extended our difference-in-difference analysis to include a trimester of exposure to assess the timing of flood exposure. We did not find evidence of statistically significant main effects on maternal health from the 2015 flood events related to preterm birth, gestational diabetes, mental disorders of pregnancy, depression, and generalized anxiety. However, we did find a statistically significant increase in SMM and low birth weight during the flood event for women in select trimester periods who were directly exposed. Our work provides new evidence on the effects of extreme flood events, like the 2015 floods, which can impact maternal health during specific exposure periods of pregnancy. Additional research is needed across other extreme weather events, as the unique context of the 2015 floods limits the generalizability of our findings.

摘要

记录自然灾害对公共卫生影响的研究通常聚焦于成年人和儿童。很少有研究考察像洪水这样的极端事件对孕产妇健康的影响,而考察灾害对孕产妇指标(如严重孕产妇发病率(SMM)或分娩意外结局,这些会对女性健康造成重大短期或长期影响)影响的研究则更少。本研究的目的是确定2015年洪水事件对美国南卡罗来纳州孕产妇健康结局的影响。我们采用准实验设计,运用差分分析和对数二项回归来评估灾害事件期间受灾地区和对照地区的孕产妇结局。与以往研究不同的是,我们将差分分析扩展至包括一个暴露孕期,以评估洪水暴露的时间。我们没有发现2015年洪水事件对早产、妊娠期糖尿病、妊娠精神障碍、抑郁症和广泛性焦虑症等孕产妇健康有统计学显著主效应的证据。然而,我们确实发现,在洪水事件期间,直接暴露的特定孕期女性的SMM和低出生体重有统计学显著增加。我们的研究为2015年洪水这样的极端洪水事件的影响提供了新证据,这些事件在孕期特定暴露期间会影响孕产妇健康。由于2015年洪水的独特背景限制了我们研究结果的普遍性,因此需要针对其他极端天气事件开展更多研究。

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