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区域外国直接投资与产出增长的联合空间计量模型。

A joint spatial econometric model for regional FDI and output growth.

作者信息

Krisztin Tamás, Piribauer Philipp

机构信息

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Laxenburg Austria.

Paris Lodron University of Salzburg (PLUS) Salzburg Austria.

出版信息

Pap Reg Sci. 2023 Feb;102(1):87-106. doi: 10.1111/pirs.12714. Epub 2023 Feb 21.

Abstract

This paper studies the joint dynamics of foreign direct investments (FDI) and output growth in European regions by using spatially augmented systems of equations modeling framework that incorporates third-region and spillover effects. The joint framework is used to study the dynamic impacts of regional human capital endowments, which demonstrates the importance of explicitly accounting for an endogenous relationship. The relationship is highlighted in a stylized projection exercise, where the long-run impacts are pronounced in Eastern Europe and capital cities. Overall, ignoring the relationship of regional economic performance and FDI distorts the implied transmission mechanism, which is of utmost importance for policy makers.

摘要

本文运用纳入第三地区和溢出效应的空间增强方程组建模框架,研究欧洲地区外国直接投资(FDI)与产出增长的联合动态。该联合框架用于研究区域人力资本禀赋的动态影响,这表明明确考虑内生关系的重要性。这种关系在一个程式化的预测练习中得到凸显,其中长期影响在东欧和首都城市较为显著。总体而言,忽视区域经济表现与外国直接投资之间的关系会扭曲隐含的传导机制,这对政策制定者至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1585/10962594/8635e74731af/PIRS-102-87-g001.jpg

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