Department of Psychology, Psychology and Neuroscience of Cognition Research Unit, University of Liège, Place des Orateurs 1 (B33), Liège, 4000, Belgium.
Psychol Res. 2024 Jun;88(4):1399-1411. doi: 10.1007/s00426-024-01962-9. Epub 2024 Apr 2.
We live in uncertain times and how this pervasive sense of uncertainty affects our ability to think about the future remains largely unexplored. This study aims to investigate the effects of uncertainty salience on episodic future thinking-the ability to mentally represent specific future events. Experiment 1 assessed the impact of uncertainty on the accessibility of episodic future thoughts using an event fluency task. Participants were randomly assigned to either an uncertainty induction or control condition, and then were asked to imagine as many future events as possible that could happen in different time periods. The results showed that participants in the uncertainty condition produced fewer events, suggesting that uncertainty salience reduced the accessibility of episodic future thoughts. Experiment 2 investigated in further detail the mechanisms of production of episodic future thoughts that are affected by uncertainty. The results showed that uncertainty primarily reduced the accessibility of previously formed future thoughts (i.e., memories of the future) rather than affecting the ability to generatively think about the future and construct events. These findings shed new light on the impact of uncertainty on episodic future thinking, paving the way to further investigation into its implications for decision-making and future-oriented behavior.
我们生活在不确定的时代,这种普遍存在的不确定性如何影响我们对未来的思考能力在很大程度上仍未得到探索。本研究旨在调查不确定性突显对情景式未来思维(即对特定未来事件的心理表征能力)的影响。实验 1 使用事件流畅性任务评估了不确定性对情景式未来思维可及性的影响。参与者被随机分配到不确定性诱导或控制条件下,然后被要求尽可能多地想象可能发生在不同时间段的未来事件。结果表明,不确定性条件下的参与者产生的事件较少,这表明不确定性突显降低了情景式未来思维的可及性。实验 2 进一步详细研究了受不确定性影响的情景式未来思维的产生机制。结果表明,不确定性主要降低了先前形成的未来思维的可及性(即对未来的记忆),而不是影响对未来进行生成性思考和构建事件的能力。这些发现为不确定性对情景式未来思维的影响提供了新的视角,为进一步研究其对决策和面向未来的行为的影响铺平了道路。