Can Protein Structure Prediction Methods Capture Alternative Conformations of Membrane Transporters?

Understanding the conformational dynamics of proteins, such as the inward-facing (IF) and outward-facing (OF) transition observed in transporters, is vital for elucidating their functional mechanisms. Despite significant advances in protein structure prediction (PSP) over the past three decades, most efforts have been focused on single-state prediction, leaving multistate or alternative conformation prediction (ACP) relatively unexplored. This discrepancy has led to the development of highly accurate PSP methods such as AlphaFold, yet their capabilities for ACP remain limited. To investigate the performance of current PSP methods in ACP, we curated a data set, named IOMemP, consisting of 32 experimentally determined high-resolution IF and OF structures of 16 membrane proteins with substantial conformational changes. We benchmarked 12 representative PSP methods, along with two recent multistate methods based on AlphaFold, against this data set. Our findings reveal a remarkably consistent preference for specific states across various PSP methods. We elucidated how coevolution information in MSAs influences state preference. Moreover, we showed that AlphaFold, when excluding coevolution information, estimated similar energies between the experimental IF and OF conformations, indicating that the energy model learned by AlphaFold is not biased toward any particular state. Our IOMemP data set and benchmark results are anticipated to advance the development of robust ACP methods.