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利用RETScreen对太阳能光伏电站进行技术经济可行性研究以实现印度尼西亚的能源转型。

Techno-economic feasibility study of solar photovoltaic power plant using RETScreen to achieve Indonesia energy transition.

作者信息

Paradongan Hendry Timotiyas, Hakam Dzikri Firmansyah, Wiryono Sudarso Kaderi, Prahastono Iswan, Aditya Indra A, Banjarnahor Kevin M, Sinisuka Ngapuli Irmea, Asekomeh Ayodele

机构信息

School of Business and Management, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, 40132, Indonesia.

PLN Research Institute, PT PLN Persero, Jakarta, 12760, Indonesia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Mar 27;10(7):e27680. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27680. eCollection 2024 Apr 15.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27680
PMID:38586405
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10998000/
Abstract

Indonesia, a key player in the global energy transition, faces surging electricity demand and ambitious renewable energy goals. In response, the government introduced a new regulation about renewable energy tariffs, including tariffs for photovoltaic (PV). However, there remains a gap in the academic literature regarding PV power plant feasibility studies under these tariffs. To address this gap, this study investigates the feasibility of a utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) power plant in Indonesia, focusing on the newly implemented renewable energy tariffs based on Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and Indonesia's state-owned electricity company (PLN) perspectives. Five scenarios were developed based on the proposed 26 MW solar power plant on Nias Island utilizing RETScreen software. The results showed that based on the IPP perspective, the newly implemented renewable energy tariff was inadequate to make the project feasible, however, an introduction of a 10 USD/t CO emission incentive would make the project financially viable for IPPs. Therefore, it is recommended to introduce emission incentives as a strategic approach to attract investors and stimulate investment in Indonesia's PV power plants market, to accelerate Indonesia's energy transition. Conversely, the results also showed that the project is very profitable for PLN due to the significant cost-savings from the de-dieselization, leading to a reduction in the average generation cost for Nias.

摘要

印度尼西亚是全球能源转型的关键参与者,面临着不断飙升的电力需求和宏伟的可再生能源目标。作为回应,政府出台了一项关于可再生能源电价的新规定,包括光伏(PV)电价。然而,关于这些电价下光伏电站可行性研究的学术文献仍存在空白。为填补这一空白,本研究从独立发电商(IPP)和印度尼西亚国有电力公司(PLN)的角度,调查了印度尼西亚一个公用事业规模太阳能光伏(PV)电站的可行性。基于尼亚斯岛拟建的26兆瓦太阳能电站,利用RETScreen软件制定了五种情景。结果表明,从IPP的角度来看,新实施的可再生能源电价不足以使该项目可行,然而,引入每吨10美元的碳排放激励措施将使该项目对IPP在财务上可行。因此,建议引入排放激励措施作为一种战略方法,以吸引投资者并刺激对印度尼西亚光伏电站市场的投资,从而加速印度尼西亚的能源转型。相反,结果还表明,由于柴油化减少带来的显著成本节约,该项目对PLN非常有利可图,从而降低了尼亚斯的平均发电成本。

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