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运用疾病预防控制中心的监测、分析和建模来应对美国流感卷土重来,以增进对季节性流感的理解。

Responding to the Return of Influenza in the United States by Applying Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Surveillance, Analysis, and Modeling to Inform Understanding of Seasonal Influenza.

机构信息

National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Fulton County Board of Health, Atlanta, GA, United States.

出版信息

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2024 Apr 8;10:e54340. doi: 10.2196/54340.

Abstract

We reviewed the tools that have been developed to characterize and communicate seasonal influenza activity in the United States. Here we focus on systematic surveillance and applied analytics, including seasonal burden and disease severity estimation, short-term forecasting, and longer-term modeling efforts. For each set of activities, we describe the challenges and opportunities that have arisen because of the COVID-19 pandemic. In conclusion, we highlight how collaboration and communication have been and will continue to be key components of reliable and actionable influenza monitoring, forecasting, and modeling activities.

摘要

我们回顾了已开发用于描述和交流美国季节性流感活动的工具。在这里,我们重点介绍系统监测和应用分析,包括季节性负担和疾病严重程度估计、短期预测以及长期建模工作。对于每一组活动,我们描述了由于 COVID-19 大流行而产生的挑战和机遇。最后,我们强调了合作和沟通是如何以及将继续成为可靠和可行的流感监测、预测和建模活动的关键组成部分。

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