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基于神经网络的三元混合液体自燃温度预测

Neural network-based prediction of auto-ignition temperature of ternary mixed liquids.

作者信息

Guo Bingyu, Cheng Zehui, Hu Shuangqi

机构信息

School of Environment and Safety Engineering, North University of China, Taiyuan, 030051, Shanxi, China.

School of Software, North University of China, Taiyuan, 030051, Shanxi, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Mar 27;10(7):e28713. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28713. eCollection 2024 Apr 15.

Abstract

Auto-ignition temperature (AIT) is one of the crucial exponents in the design of fire and explosion safety measures. Therefore, in this study, quantitative structure-property relationship approach was used to predict the AIT of ternary hybrid liquids based on molecular structure information. The optimal molecular descriptors were calculated and filtered using Mordred software. Twelve mixing rules were proposed for calculating molecular descriptors of mixtures. A prediction model for the AIT value of binary liquid mixtures was developed, validated and evaluated using a back propagation neural network (BPNN) and a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1DCNN). The relative contribution and positive and negative correlations between individual molecular descriptors and AIT in the model were interpreted using the shapley additive explanations method. The results show that BPNN and 1DCNN models using mixing rule 1 have the best fitting ability, stability and prediction ability. The determination coefficient of the BPNN and 1DCNN models in the training set were 0.996 and 0.992, the root mean square errors were 3.613 °C and 5.284 °C, the mean absolute errors were 2.483 °C and 4.144 °C, the nash efficiency coefficient was 0.996 and 0.992, respectively, the willmott index was 0.999 and 0.998. and the values of the top three molecular descriptors of relative contribution, SssCH, SsOH and SsCH, were negatively correlated with the AIT values. The BPNN and 1DCNN models provide an accurate and reliable method for predicting ternary mixing liquid AIT.

摘要

自燃温度(AIT)是火灾与爆炸安全措施设计中的关键指数之一。因此,在本研究中,基于分子结构信息,采用定量结构-性质关系方法预测三元混合液体的AIT。使用Mordred软件计算并筛选出最佳分子描述符。提出了十二条混合规则用于计算混合物的分子描述符。利用反向传播神经网络(BPNN)和一维卷积神经网络(1DCNN)建立、验证并评估了二元液体混合物AIT值的预测模型。采用Shapley加法解释方法解释了模型中各个分子描述符与AIT之间的相对贡献以及正负相关性。结果表明,采用混合规则1的BPNN和1DCNN模型具有最佳的拟合能力、稳定性和预测能力。BPNN和1DCNN模型在训练集中的决定系数分别为0.996和0.992,均方根误差分别为3.613℃和5.284℃,平均绝对误差分别为2.483℃和4.144℃,纳什效率系数分别为0.996和0.992,威尔莫特指数分别为0.999和0.998。相对贡献排名前三的分子描述符SssCH、SsOH和SsCH的值与AIT值呈负相关。BPNN和1DCNN模型为预测三元混合液体AIT提供了一种准确可靠的方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a396/11002041/45fa9c370053/gr1.jpg

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