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A survival nomogram model for patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer and lymph node metastasis (N1 or N2) based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database and single-center data.

作者信息

He Cheng, Ni Miaoqi, Liu Jiacong, Teng Xiao, Ke Lei, Matsuura Yosuke, Okuda Katsuhiro, Sakairi Yuichi, Cheng Jun, Yu Li, Lv Wang, Hu Jian

机构信息

Department of Thoracic Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.

Echocardiography and Vascular Ultrasound Center, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Transl Lung Cancer Res. 2024 Mar 29;13(3):573-586. doi: 10.21037/tlcr-24-119. Epub 2024 Mar 27.


DOI:10.21037/tlcr-24-119
PMID:38601448
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11002513/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: The ability to predict survival in patients with lymph node metastasis has long been elusive. After surgery, the basis for decision-making on the combination treatment of patients is not clear. The purpose of this study was thus to build a survival nomogram model to effectively predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and lymph node metastasis. The number of dissected lymph nodes (NDLN), number of positive lymph nodes (NPLN), lymph node ratio (LNR), and log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) were included in this study to determine the risk factors in patients with advanced NSCLC. METHODS: The data of 5,132 patients with NSCLC and lymph node metastasis (N1 or N2) were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database according to inclusion and exclusion criteria and used as the training cohort. We enrolled 117 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine as the external validation cohort. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed to determine the best cutoff values for predicting the prognosis of patients with NSCLC. Based on the risk factors affecting prognosis, a nomogram was constructed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models. The discrimination ability of the nomogram was evaluated with the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves. For the independent risk factors, survival curves were drawn using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal NPLN cut-off value was 4, LNR was 0.26, and LODDS was -0.25, respectively. However, LNR was nonsignificant in multivariate analysis, with a P value of 0.274. The novel survival nomogram model included seven independent risk factors, among which were NPLN, LODDS, and chemotherapy. Model 4, which included N stage, NPLN, and LODDS, had a higher likelihood ratio (LR) and C-index than did the other models. The C-index was 0.648 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.636-0.659] in the training cohort and 0.807 (95% CI: 0.751-0.863) in the external validation cohort, showing good prognostic accuracy and discrimination ability. According to the median risk score, the patients in the training cohort and external validation cohort were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups, between which significant differences in OS were found. In the training cohort, age, sex, T stage, N stage, NPLN, LODDS, and chemotherapy were significantly associated with OS (P<0.001). In the external validation cohort, T stage, NPLN, LODDS, and chemotherapy were found to be correlated with OS. CONCLUSIONS: The NPLN and LODDS nomogram is an accurate survival prediction tool for patients with N1 or N2 NSCLC. Patients with lymph node metastasis can benefit from chemotherapy, but no evidence shows that radiotherapy is necessary for patients with resectable NSCLC.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/bbfbb40f5859/tlcr-13-03-573-f5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/af6da7a700b2/tlcr-13-03-573-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/f5c02951761c/tlcr-13-03-573-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/803fb6ce3793/tlcr-13-03-573-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/2ec08bb70ce4/tlcr-13-03-573-f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/bbfbb40f5859/tlcr-13-03-573-f5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/af6da7a700b2/tlcr-13-03-573-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/f5c02951761c/tlcr-13-03-573-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/803fb6ce3793/tlcr-13-03-573-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/2ec08bb70ce4/tlcr-13-03-573-f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e5/11002513/bbfbb40f5859/tlcr-13-03-573-f5.jpg

相似文献

[1]
A survival nomogram model for patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer and lymph node metastasis (N1 or N2) based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database and single-center data.

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[2]
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[3]
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引用本文的文献

[1]
Prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer patients undergoing compromised wedge vs. segmental resection: a population-based cohort study.

J Cardiothorac Surg. 2025-8-12

[2]
Prognostic value of lymph node ratio in patients with non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Front Oncol. 2025-7-1

[3]
Evaluating log odds of positive lymph nodes as a prognostic tool in differentiated gastric cancer: A retrospective study.

World J Gastroenterol. 2025-6-7

[4]
A LODDS-based nomogram for overall and cancer-specific survival in stage III-IV gastric signet ring cell carcinoma.

Front Mol Biosci. 2025-5-14

[5]
Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting lymph node metastasis in early non-small-cell lung cancer.

Am J Cancer Res. 2025-1-15

[6]
Prognostic value of lymph node metrics in lung squamous cell carcinoma: an analysis of the SEER database.

World J Surg Oncol. 2024-12-28

[7]
Development and validation of a nomogram for assessing survival in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients.

BMC Pulm Med. 2024-6-19

本文引用的文献

[1]
Predictive Value of Clinicopathological Factors to Guide Post-Operative Radiotherapy in Completely Resected pN2-Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

Diagnostics (Basel). 2023-9-29

[2]
Effect of postoperative radiotherapy on survival in patients with completely resected and pathologically confirmed stage N2 non-small-cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Ther Adv Chronic Dis. 2023-9-13

[3]
Impact of pathological nodal staging and tumour differentiation on survival and postoperative radiotherapy in completely resected stage IIIA Non-small-cell lung cancer.

Lung Cancer. 2023-10

[4]
Impact of skip mediastinal lymph node metastasis on outcomes after resection for primary lung cancer.

Lung Cancer. 2023-10

[5]
The clinical meaning of the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve for the evaluation of the performance of disease markers.

Epidemiol Health. 2022

[6]
Evaluation of log odds of positive lymph nodes in predicting the survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy and surgery: a SEER cohort-based study.

BMC Cancer. 2022-7-20

[7]
N, LNR or LODDS: Which Is the Most Appropriate Lymph Node Classification Scheme for Patients with Radically Resected Pancreatic Cancer?

Cancers (Basel). 2022-4-6

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CA Cancer J Clin. 2022-1

[9]
Postoperative radiotherapy versus no postoperative radiotherapy in patients with completely resected non-small-cell lung cancer and proven mediastinal N2 involvement (Lung ART): an open-label, randomised, phase 3 trial.

Lancet Oncol. 2022-1

[10]
Prognostic relevance of pleural invasion for resected NSCLC patients undergoing adjuvant treatments: A propensity score-matched analysis of SEER database.

Lung Cancer. 2021-11

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