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燃气炉强制性安全装置安装的影响评估。

Impact assessment of mandatory safety device installation for gas stoves.

机构信息

Department of Engineering, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2024 Oct;44(10):2403-2414. doi: 10.1111/risa.14313. Epub 2024 Apr 14.

Abstract

Numerous fire accidents have occurred in Japan owing to food overheating when cooking on gas stoves because users left the cooking area unattended. In response, authorities enacted a legal revision mandating temperature sensor installation on gas stove burners. Nevertheless, the actual effectiveness of this measure remains uncertain. Furthermore, prior studies have raised concerns about the efficacy of specific safety standards for consumer products owing to insufficient evidence of reduction in accidents. Consequently, this study seeks to assess the impact of the standards revision implemented in 2008, requiring the placement of safety devices on all gas stove burners. Through a comprehensive analysis, it was aimed to ascertain how these measures have precisely influenced safety outcomes in cooking-related incidents. The data in this study were subdivided to mitigate potential bias from user attributes during data collection. The analysis employed the difference-in-differences method, specifically utilizing one-burner gas stoves unaffected by the standards revision. The data used in this study include accidents associated with gas stoves, spanning the period 2007-2019. To estimate the likelihood of overheating accidents, a binomial distribution model that utilized the Markov chain Monte Carlo methods was applied. For gas stoves with two or more burners, which were affected by the standards revision, the estimated probability of overheating accidents decreased by approximately 80%. In contrast, no decreasing trend was observed for one-burner gas stoves. The analysis suggests that the mandatory installation of safety devices on gas stoves has indeed resulted in a significant reduction in overheating accidents.

摘要

在日本,由于用户在使用煤气炉烹饪时离开烹饪区域,导致许多火灾事故是由于食物过热引起的。针对这种情况,有关部门修订了法律,规定在煤气炉燃烧器上安装温度传感器。然而,这一措施的实际效果尚不确定。此外,先前的研究对消费者产品特定安全标准的有效性提出了担忧,因为缺乏减少事故的证据。因此,本研究旨在评估 2008 年实施的标准修订的影响,要求在所有煤气炉燃烧器上安装安全装置。通过全面分析,旨在确定这些措施如何精确地影响与烹饪相关事故的安全结果。本研究的数据进行了细分,以减轻数据收集过程中用户属性可能带来的偏差。分析采用了差异中的差异方法,特别是使用不受标准修订影响的单燃烧器煤气炉。本研究使用的数据集包括与煤气炉相关的事故,涵盖了 2007 年至 2019 年期间的数据。为了估计过热事故的可能性,使用了二项式分布模型,并利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法进行了分析。对于受标准修订影响的有两个或更多燃烧器的煤气炉,过热事故的估计概率降低了约 80%。相比之下,对于单燃烧器煤气炉,没有观察到下降趋势。分析表明,在煤气炉上强制安装安全装置确实显著减少了过热事故。

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