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衰老与寿命研究中的不确定性:新冠疫情成为解决棘手问题的催化剂

Uncertainty in Aging and Lifespan Research: Covid-19 as Catalyst for Addressing the Elephant in the Room.

作者信息

Grote Gudela, Pfrombeck Julian

机构信息

Department of Management, Technology, and Economics, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Work Aging Retire. 2020 Sep 28:waaa020. doi: 10.1093/workar/waaa020.

Abstract

Uncertainty is at the center of debates on how to best cope with the Covid-19 pandemic. In our exploration of the role of uncertainty in current aging and lifespan research, we build on an uncertainty regulation framework that includes both reduction and creation of uncertainty as viable self-regulatory processes. In particular, we propose that future time perspective, a key component in models of successful aging, should be reconceptualized in terms of uncertainty regulation. We argue that by proactively regulating the amount of uncertainty one is exposed to, individuals' future time perspective can be altered. We show how extant research might be (re)interpreted based on these considerations and suggest directions for future research, challenging a number of implicit assumptions about how age and uncertainty are interlinked. We close with some practical implications for individuals and organizations for managing the Covid-19 crisis.

摘要

不确定性是关于如何最好地应对新冠疫情的辩论核心。在我们探索不确定性在当前衰老与寿命研究中的作用时,我们基于一个不确定性调节框架,该框架将减少和制造不确定性都视为可行的自我调节过程。具体而言,我们提出,成功衰老模型中的一个关键要素——未来时间视角,应从不确定性调节的角度进行重新概念化。我们认为,通过主动调节自身所面临的不确定性量,个人的未来时间视角能够得到改变。我们展示了基于这些考量,现有研究可能如何被(重新)解读,并为未来研究提出方向,挑战了一些关于年龄与不确定性如何相互关联的隐含假设。最后,我们阐述了对个人和组织应对新冠危机的一些实际启示。

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