Lemieux Thomas, Milligan Kevin, Schirle Tammy, Skuterud Mikal
Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia.
Department of Economics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, Ontario.
Can Public Policy. 2020 Jul 1;46(Suppl 1):S55-S65. doi: 10.3138/cpp.2020-049.
In this study, we review the initial impacts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on the Canadian labour market. We focus on changes in employment and aggregate hours worked between February 2020 and April 2020 while accounting for normal monthly changes in these indicators. We find that COVID-19 induced a 32 percent decline in aggregate weekly work hours among workers aged 20-64 years, alongside a 15 percent decline in employment. We characterize the distribution of work lost, finding that nearly half of job losses are attributed to workers in the bottom earnings quartile. Those most affected by COVID-19 are in public-facing jobs in industries most affected by shutdowns (accommodation and food services), younger workers, paid hourly, and non-union. The results provide context for policy development, with both supply and demand sides of the labour market to consider.
在本研究中,我们回顾了2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行对加拿大劳动力市场的初步影响。我们关注2020年2月至2020年4月期间的就业变化和总工作时长,同时考虑这些指标的正常月度变化。我们发现,COVID-19导致20至64岁工人的每周总工作时长下降了32%,就业人数下降了15%。我们描述了工作损失的分布情况,发现近一半的失业归因于收入最低四分位数的工人。受COVID-19影响最大的是受停工影响最严重行业(住宿和食品服务)中从事面向公众工作的人员、年轻工人、按小时计酬的工人以及非工会成员。研究结果为政策制定提供了背景信息,劳动力市场的供需双方都需加以考虑。