Grigoriev Pavel, Sauerberg Markus, Jasilionis Domantas, van Raalte Alyson, Klüsener Sebastian
Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung (BiB), Friedrich-Ebert-Allee 4, 65185, Wiesbaden, Deutschland.
Max-Planck-Institut für demografische Forschung, Rostock, Deutschland.
Bundesgesundheitsblatt Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz. 2024 May;67(5):493-503. doi: 10.1007/s00103-024-03867-9. Epub 2024 Apr 18.
Due to its strong economy and a well-developed healthcare system, Germany is well positioned to achieve above-average reductions in mortality. Nevertheless, in terms of life expectancy, Germany is increasingly falling behind Western Europe. We compare mortality trends in Germany with other Western European countries, covering the period from 1960 to 2019. The focus is on long-term trends in Germany's ranking in international mortality trends. In addition, we conduct a detailed mortality analysis by age.
Our analysis is mostly based on mortality data from the Human Mortality Database (HMD). Cause-specific mortality data originate from the database of the World Health Organization (WHO). For the international comparison of mortality trends, we use conventional mortality indicators (age-standardized mortality rate, period life expectancy).
Compared to other Western European countries, Germany has higher mortality in the middle and older age groups. Germany's life expectancy gap compared to Western Europe has grown during the past 20 years. In 2000, Germany was 0.73 years behind for men and 0.74 years behind for women. By 2019, these figures had risen to 1.43 and 1.34 years, respectively. This is mainly due to mortality from non-communicable diseases.
For Germany to catch up with other Western European countries, a stronger focus on further reducing mortality at ages 50+ is crucial. This also requires further research to understand the factors behind Germany's disadvantageous position.
德国经济强劲,医疗体系发达,在实现高于平均水平的死亡率降低方面具备良好条件。然而,在预期寿命方面,德国正日益落后于西欧。我们比较了1960年至2019年期间德国与其他西欧国家的死亡率趋势。重点是德国在国际死亡率趋势中的排名长期趋势。此外,我们还按年龄进行了详细的死亡率分析。
我们的分析主要基于人类死亡率数据库(HMD)的死亡率数据。特定病因死亡率数据源自世界卫生组织(WHO)的数据库。为进行死亡率趋势的国际比较,我们使用传统死亡率指标(年龄标准化死亡率、时期预期寿命)。
与其他西欧国家相比,德国中年和老年群体的死亡率更高。在过去20年里,德国与西欧的预期寿命差距有所扩大。2000年,德国男性落后0.73年,女性落后0.74年。到2019年,这些数字分别升至1.43年和1.34年。这主要归因于非传染性疾病导致的死亡率。
德国要赶上其他西欧国家,更加强调进一步降低50岁及以上人群的死亡率至关重要。这也需要进一步开展研究,以了解德国不利地位背后的因素。