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分解并简化骨折风险评估工具——台湾地区特定计算器中的一个模块。

Decomposing and simplifying the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool-a module from the Taiwan-specific calculator.

作者信息

Li Chia-Chun, Liu I-Ting, Cheng Tien-Tsai, Liang Fu-Wen, Sun Zih-Jie, Chang Yin-Fan, Chang Chin-Sung, Yang Yi-Ching, Lu Tsung-Hsueh, Kuo Li-Chieh, Wu Chih-Hsing

机构信息

Institute of Allied Health Sciences, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, 701 Tainan, Taiwan.

Department of Family Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, 701 Tainan, Taiwan.

出版信息

JBMR Plus. 2024 Mar 23;8(5):ziae039. doi: 10.1093/jbmrpl/ziae039. eCollection 2024 May.

DOI:10.1093/jbmrpl/ziae039
PMID:38644977
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11032218/
Abstract

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) is a widely utilized country-specific calculator for identifying individuals with high fracture risk; its score is calculated from 12 variables, but its formulation is not publicly disclosed. We aimed to decompose and simplify the FRAX® by utilizing a nationwide community survey database as a reference module for creating a local assessment tool for osteoporotic fracture community screening in any country. Participants ( = 16384; predominantly women (75%); mean age = 64.8 years) were enrolled from the Taiwan OsteoPorosis Survey, a nationwide cross-sectional community survey collected from 2008 to 2011. We identified 11 clinical risk factors from the health questionnaires. BMD was assessed via dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry in a mobile DXA vehicle, and 10-year fracture risk scores, including major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture (HF) risk scores, were calculated using the FRAX®. The mean femoral neck BMD was 0.7 ± 0.1 g/cm, the T-score was -1.9 ± 1.2, the MOF was 8.9 ± 7.1%, and the HF was 3.2 ± 4.7%. Following FRAX® decomposition with multiple linear regression, the adjusted values were 0.9206 for MOF and 0.9376 for HF when BMD was included and 0.9538 for MOF and 0.9554 for HF when BMD was excluded. The FRAX® demonstrated better prediction for women and younger individuals than for men and elderly individuals after sex and age stratification analysis. Excluding femoral neck BMD, age, sex, and previous fractures emerged as 3 primary clinical risk factors for simplified FRAX® according to the decision tree analysis in this study population. The adjusted values for the simplified country-specific FRAX® incorporating 3 premier clinical risk factors were 0.8210 for MOF and 0.8528 for HF. After decomposition, the newly simplified module provides a straightforward formulation for estimating 10-year fracture risk, even without femoral neck BMD, making it suitable for community or clinical osteoporotic fracture risk screening.

摘要

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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3f5e/11032218/9f19bf4bf5c6/ziae039f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3f5e/11032218/9b4b8c0fca2e/ziae039ga1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3f5e/11032218/9f19bf4bf5c6/ziae039f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3f5e/11032218/9b4b8c0fca2e/ziae039ga1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3f5e/11032218/9f19bf4bf5c6/ziae039f1.jpg

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