能量景观分析和与类风湿关节炎药物治疗相关的患者状态多稳定性的时间序列聚类分析:KURAMA 队列研究。

Energy landscape analysis and time-series clustering analysis of patient state multistability related to rheumatoid arthritis drug treatment: The KURAMA cohort study.

机构信息

Division of Data Science, Center for Industrial Research and Innovation, Translational Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Osaka Dental University, Hirakata City, Osaka, Japan.

Department of Engineering Informatics, Faculty of Information and Communication Engineering, Osaka Electro-Communication University, Neyagawa City, Osaka, Japan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 6;19(5):e0302308. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302308. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Rheumatoid arthritis causes joint inflammation due to immune abnormalities, resulting in joint pain and swelling. In recent years, there have been considerable advancements in the treatment of this disease. However, only approximately 60% of patients achieve remission. Patients with multifactorial diseases shift between states from day to day. Patients may remain in a good or poor state with few or no transitions, or they may switch between states frequently. The visualization of time-dependent state transitions, based on the evaluation axis of stable/unstable states, may provide useful information for achieving rheumatoid arthritis treatment goals. Energy landscape analysis can be used to quantitatively determine the stability/instability of each state in terms of energy. Time-series clustering is another method used to classify transitions into different groups to identify potential patterns within a time-series dataset. The objective of this study was to utilize energy landscape analysis and time-series clustering to evaluate multidimensional time-series data in terms of multistability. We profiled each patient's state transitions during treatment using energy landscape analysis and time-series clustering. Energy landscape analysis divided state transitions into two patterns: "good stability leading to remission" and "poor stability leading to treatment dead-end." The number of patients whose disease status improved increased markedly until approximately 6 months after treatment initiation and then plateaued after 1 year. Time-series clustering grouped patients into three clusters: "toward good stability," "toward poor stability," and "unstable." Patients in the "unstable" cluster are considered to have clinical courses that are difficult to predict; therefore, these patients should be treated with more care. Early disease detection and treatment initiation are important. The evaluation of state multistability enables us to understand a patient's current state in the context of overall state transitions related to rheumatoid arthritis drug treatment and to predict future state transitions.

摘要

类风湿关节炎由于免疫异常导致关节炎症,引起关节疼痛和肿胀。近年来,该病的治疗取得了相当大的进展。然而,只有约 60%的患者达到缓解。具有多因素疾病的患者每天在状态之间转移。患者可能保持良好或较差的状态,很少或没有过渡,或者频繁地在状态之间切换。基于稳定/不稳定状态的评估轴,对时间依赖性状态转移进行可视化可能为实现类风湿关节炎治疗目标提供有用信息。能量景观分析可用于根据能量定量确定每个状态的稳定性/不稳定性。时间序列聚类是另一种用于将过渡分类为不同组以识别时间序列数据集中潜在模式的方法。本研究的目的是利用能量景观分析和时间序列聚类来评估多维时间序列数据的多稳定性。我们使用能量景观分析和时间序列聚类来分析每位患者在治疗过程中的状态转移。能量景观分析将状态转移分为两种模式:“良好的稳定性导致缓解”和“较差的稳定性导致治疗陷入僵局”。疾病状况改善的患者数量显著增加,直到治疗开始后约 6 个月,然后在 1 年后趋于稳定。时间序列聚类将患者分为三组:“向良好稳定性”、“向较差稳定性”和“不稳定”。处于“不稳定”组的患者被认为其临床病程难以预测;因此,这些患者应更加小心地治疗。早期发现疾病并尽早开始治疗很重要。对状态多稳定性的评估使我们能够了解患者在与类风湿关节炎药物治疗相关的整体状态转移背景下的当前状态,并预测未来的状态转移。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3b91/11073743/5831412d70eb/pone.0302308.g001.jpg

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