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利用多维动态时间规整识别时变的领先-滞后关系。

Using Multi-Dimensional Dynamic Time Warping to Identify Time-Varying Lead-Lag Relationships.

机构信息

Department of Statistics and Econometrics, University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, Lange Gasse 20, 90403 Nuremberg, Germany.

出版信息

Sensors (Basel). 2022 Sep 12;22(18):6884. doi: 10.3390/s22186884.

DOI:10.3390/s22186884
PMID:36146233
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9501639/
Abstract

This paper develops a multi-dimensional Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) algorithm to identify varying lead-lag relationships between two different time series. Specifically, this manuscript contributes to the literature by improving upon the use towards lead-lag estimation. Our two-step procedure computes the multi-dimensional DTW alignment with the aid of shapeDTW and then utilises the output to extract the estimated time-varying lead-lag relationship between the original time series. Next, our extensive simulation study analyses the performance of the algorithm compared to the state-of-the-art methods Thermal Optimal Path (TOP), Symmetric Thermal Optimal Path (TOPS), Rolling Cross-Correlation (RCC), Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), and Derivative Dynamic Time Warping (DDTW). We observe a strong outperformance of the algorithm regarding efficiency, robustness, and feasibility.

摘要

本文提出了一种多维动态时间规整(DTW)算法,用于识别两个不同时间序列之间的时变超前-滞后关系。具体来说,本文通过改进用于超前-滞后估计的方法,为文献做出了贡献。我们的两步程序借助 shapeDTW 计算多维 DTW 对齐,然后利用输出结果从原始时间序列中提取估计的时变超前-滞后关系。接下来,我们广泛的模拟研究分析了与最先进的方法(热最优路径(TOP)、对称热最优路径(TOPS)、滚动互相关(RCC)、动态时间规整(DTW)和导数动态时间规整(DDTW))相比,该算法的性能。我们观察到该算法在效率、稳健性和可行性方面具有很强的优势。

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