The impact of spike timing precision and spike emission reliability on decoding accuracy.

Precisely timed and reliably emitted spikes are hypothesized to serve multiple functions, including improving the accuracy and reproducibility of encoding stimuli, memories, or behaviours across trials. When these spikes occur as a repeating sequence, they can be used to encode and decode a potential time series. Here, we show both analytically and in simulations that the error incurred in approximating a time series with precisely timed and reliably emitted spikes decreases linearly with the number of neurons or spikes used in the decoding. This was verified numerically with synthetically generated patterns of spikes. Further, we found that if spikes were imprecise in their timing, or unreliable in their emission, the error incurred in decoding with these spikes would be sub-linear. However, if the spike precision or spike reliability increased with network size, the error incurred in decoding a time-series with sequences of spikes would maintain a linear decrease with network size. The spike precision had to increase linearly with network size, while the probability of spike failure had to decrease with the square-root of the network size. Finally, we identified a candidate circuit to test this scaling relationship: the repeating sequences of spikes with sub-millisecond precision in area HVC (proper name) of the zebra finch. This scaling relationship can be tested using both neural data and song-spectrogram-based recordings while taking advantage of the natural fluctuation in HVC network size due to neurogenesis.