John G. McCullough Professor of Economics, Middlebury College, Middlebury, Vermont, USA.
Partner at Keker, Van Nest, and Peters LLP, San Francisco, California, USA.
Perspect Sex Reprod Health. 2024 Sep;56(3):211-221. doi: 10.1111/psrh.12268. Epub 2024 May 14.
A pillar of Mississippi's argument in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health was that there is no evidence of "societal reliance" on abortion, meaning no reason to believe that access to abortion impacts the ability of women to participate in the economic and social life of the nation. Led by economist Caitlin Myers and attorney Anjali Srinivasan, more than 150 economists filed an amicus brief seeking to assist the Court in understanding that this assertion is erroneous. The economists describe developments in causal inference methodologies over the last three decades, and the ways in which these tools have been used to isolate the measure of the effects of abortion legalization in the 1970s and of abortion policies and access over the ensuing decades. The economists argue that there is a substantial body of well-developed and credible research that shows that abortion access has had and continues to have a significant effect on birth rates as well as broad downstream social and economic effects, including on women's educational attainment and job opportunities. What follows is a reprint of this brief.
密西西比州在多布斯诉杰克逊妇女健康组织案中的主要论点之一是,没有证据表明“社会依赖”堕胎,也就是说,没有理由相信堕胎的获得会影响妇女参与国家的经济和社会生活的能力。由经济学家 Caitlin Myers 和律师 Anjali Srinivasan 领导的 150 多名经济学家提交了一份法庭之友简报,试图协助法院理解这一说法是错误的。经济学家们描述了过去三十年来因果推理方法的发展,以及这些工具在 20 世纪 70 年代用于隔离堕胎合法化以及随后几十年的堕胎政策和机会的影响的方式。经济学家们认为,有大量成熟且可靠的研究表明,堕胎的获得已经并且继续对出生率以及广泛的下游社会和经济影响产生重大影响,包括对妇女的教育程度和就业机会的影响。以下是这份简报的全文。