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1999 - 2020年美国65岁以上人群急性心肌梗死死亡率趋势:来自疾病控制与预防中心-国家卫生统计中心数据库的见解

Trends of Acute Myocardial Infarction Mortality in People Over 65 Years Old in the United States From 1999-2020: Insight From the CDC-WONDER Database.

作者信息

Siraw Bekure B, Meyahnwi Didien, Tafesse Yordanos T, Siraw Biruk B, Yasmeen Juveriya, Melka Samrawit

机构信息

Internal Medicine, Ascension Saint Joseph Hospital, Chicago, USA.

Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, USA.

出版信息

Cureus. 2024 Apr 14;16(4):e58225. doi: 10.7759/cureus.58225. eCollection 2024 Apr.

Abstract

Background Over the past two decades, there have been numerous advances in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) care. We assessed the impact of these advances on the trend of AMI-related mortality. Methods This retrospective analysis of the Centers for Disease Control's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC_WONDER) database focused on AMI-related mortality in individuals aged 65 and older in the United States from 1999 to 2020. Trends -n crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were assessed based on socio-demographic and regional variables using Joinpoint Regression software (Joinpoint Regression Program, Version 5.0.2 - May 2023; Statistical Methodology and Applications Branch, Surveillance Research Program, National Cancer Institute Bethesda, Maryland). Annual percentage change (APC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the AAMRs were calculated for the line segments linking a Joinpoint using a data-driven weighted Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) model. Results There were 2,354,971 AMI-related deaths with an overall decline in the AAMR from 474.6 in 1999 to 153.2 in 2020 and an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of -5.3 (95% CI -5.4 to -5.2). Notable declines were observed across gender, race, age groups, and urbanization levels. However, the rate of AMI-related deaths at decedents' homes slowed down between 2008 and 2020 and climbed up between 2018 and 2020. In addition to this, nonmetropolitan areas were found to have a significantly lower decline in mortality when compared to large and medium/small metropolitan areas. Conclusion While there is an overall positive trend in reducing AMI-associated mortality, disparities persist, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions.

摘要

背景 在过去二十年中,急性心肌梗死(AMI)护理取得了诸多进展。我们评估了这些进展对AMI相关死亡率趋势的影响。方法 这项对疾病控制中心的广泛在线流行病学研究数据(CDC_WONDER)数据库的回顾性分析聚焦于1999年至2020年美国65岁及以上个体的AMI相关死亡率。使用Joinpoint回归软件(Joinpoint回归程序,版本5.0.2 - 2023年5月;统计方法与应用分支,监测研究项目,美国国立癌症研究所,马里兰州贝塞斯达),基于社会人口统计学和区域变量评估粗死亡率和年龄调整死亡率(AAMR)的趋势。使用数据驱动的加权贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)模型计算连接Joinpoint的线段的AAMR的年度百分比变化(APC)及其95%置信区间(CI)。结果 有2354971例与AMI相关的死亡,AAMR从1999年的474.6总体下降至2020年的153.2,平均年度百分比变化(AAPC)为 -5.3(95%CI -5.4至 -5.2)。在性别、种族、年龄组和城市化水平方面均观察到显著下降。然而,2008年至2020年期间,在家中死亡的AMI相关死亡率下降速度放缓,2018年至2020年期间有所上升。除此之外,与大中城市和小城市地区相比,非都市地区的死亡率下降幅度明显较小。结论 虽然在降低AMI相关死亡率方面总体呈积极趋势,但差异仍然存在,这强调了有针对性干预措施的必要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e40e/11091843/f6a48f4b2d1c/cureus-0016-00000058225-i01.jpg

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