Möller Marco, Recinos Beatriz, Rastner Philipp, Marzeion Ben
Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.
MARUM-Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.
Sci Rep. 2024 May 17;14(1):11316. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-61930-6.
The Greenland Ice Sheet is losing mass at increasing rates. Substantial amounts of this mass loss occur by ice discharge which is influenced by ocean thermal forcing. The ice sheet is surrounded by thousands of peripheral, dynamically decoupled glaciers. The mass loss from these glaciers is disproportionately high considering their negligible share in Greenland' overall ice mass. We study the relevance of ocean thermal forcing for ice discharge evolution in the context of this contrasting behaviour. Our estimate of ice discharge from the peripheral tidewater glaciers yields a rather stable Greenland-wide mean of 5.40 ± 3.54 Gt a over 2000-2021. The evolutions of ice discharge and ocean thermal forcing are heterogeneous around Greenland. We observe a significant sector-wide increase of ice discharge in the East and a significant sector-wide decrease in the Northeast. Ocean thermal forcing shows significant increases along the northern/eastern coast, while otherwise unchanged conditions or decreases prevail. For East Greenland, this implies a clear influence of ocean thermal forcing on ice discharge. Similarly, we find clear influences at peripheral tidewater glaciers with thick termini that are similar to ice sheet outlet glaciers. At the peripheral glaciers in Northeast Greenland ice discharge evolution opposes ocean thermal forcing for unknown reasons.
格陵兰冰盖正在以越来越快的速度失去质量。这种质量损失的很大一部分是通过受海洋热力强迫影响的冰体排放发生的。冰盖被数千条周边的、动态解耦的冰川所环绕。考虑到这些冰川在格陵兰岛总体冰量中所占份额微不足道,它们的质量损失却高得不成比例。我们在这种对比行为的背景下研究海洋热力强迫对冰体排放演变的相关性。我们对周边潮退冰川冰体排放的估计得出,在2000年至2021年期间,格陵兰岛范围内相当稳定的平均值为5.40±3.54 Gt/a。格陵兰岛周围冰体排放和海洋热力强迫的演变是不均匀的。我们观察到东部冰体排放出现显著的全区域增加,而东北部则出现显著的全区域减少。海洋热力强迫在北部/东部沿海地区显著增加,而其他地区则保持不变或减少。对于东格陵兰岛来说,这意味着海洋热力强迫对冰体排放有明显影响。同样,我们在末端较厚、类似于冰盖出口冰川的周边潮退冰川上也发现了明显影响。在格陵兰岛东北部的周边冰川,冰体排放演变与海洋热力强迫背道而驰,原因不明。