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评估国家消除疟疾规划的流行病学指标:回顾性研究。

Assessment of Epidemiological Indicators for Evaluation of National Malaria Elimination Programme: A Retrospective Study.

机构信息

M. Pharm-Pharmacy Practice, A.U. College of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, 530003.

A.U. College of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam. 530003.

出版信息

Ethiop J Health Sci. 2023 Nov;33(6):1015-1026. doi: 10.4314/ejhs.v33i6.12.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Malaria has been one of India's most considerable health problems since 1940. The objective of our study is to determine the status of the National Malaria Elimination Programme in India by using epidemiological indicators.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The annual reports of malaria for the years 2014-2021 and monthly reports for 2020 and 2021 were collected from the official web portal and were analysed for study specific assessments.

RESULTS

The API has shown a statistically significant reduction from 2017-2021 in all states along with category-1(P=0.003) and category-2(P=0.029) states/UTs, but there was no statistically significant reduction from 2017-2021 in category-3 (P=0.166) states/UTs. The zero indigenous cases had not been achieved in category-1 states/UTs. The overall percentage reduction in number of malaria cases in 2020 at the national level compared with 2014 was 83.6%. Despite states with strong health systems such as Gujarat, Maharashtra and Karnataka, have not shown zero indigenous cases in 2020 and the malaria cases noted were very far from reaching the targets.

CONCLUSIONS

Although we observed a significant drop in malaria incidence from 2014 to 2020, demonstrating that the country is moving nearer to malaria elimination, it is crucial to implement the strategies to reduce Plasmodium falciparum% and re-establish surveillance programmes and execute national and state programmes in order to achieve the success of the National Malaria Elimination Programme. The recategorization of states/UTs are in accordance to the API, and implementation strategies were also needed.

摘要

背景

自 1940 年以来,疟疾一直是印度最严重的健康问题之一。我们的研究目的是使用流行病学指标来确定印度国家消除疟疾计划的现状。

方法和材料

从官方网站收集了 2014-2021 年的疟疾年度报告和 2020 年和 2021 年的每月报告,并对其进行了研究特定评估分析。

结果

API 显示,所有邦都呈统计学显著下降趋势,包括第 1 类(P=0.003)和第 2 类(P=0.029)邦/联邦属地,但第 3 类(P=0.166)邦/联邦属地没有呈统计学显著下降趋势。第 1 类邦/联邦属地尚未实现无本土疟疾病例。与 2014 年相比,2020 年全国疟疾病例数减少了 83.6%。尽管像古吉拉特邦、马哈拉施特拉邦和卡纳塔克邦这样拥有强大卫生系统的邦,在 2020 年也没有出现本土疟疾病例,而且记录的疟疾病例离目标还相差甚远。

结论

尽管我们观察到 2014 年至 2020 年疟疾发病率显著下降,表明该国正在向消除疟疾迈进,但为了实现国家消除疟疾计划的成功,必须实施减少恶性疟原虫%的策略,并重新建立监测计划,并执行国家和邦计划。邦/联邦属地的重新分类是根据 API 进行的,还需要实施策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c87/11111267/aaeae209dc6b/EJHS3307-1015Fig1.jpg

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